ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-KSZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/28/08 0555Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0545Z  JS
.
LOCATION...WESTERN MISSOURI/EASTERN KANSAS
.
ATTN WFOS...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
.
EVENT...CONVECTION INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
ACROSS E KS/W MO WITH LIKELIHOOD FOR COMPLEX TO FORM.
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY INCREASING JUST AHEAD
OF SFC FRONT APPEARS TO BE ORGANIZING OVER SE KS/W MO WITH IR IMAGERY
SHOWING RAPID COOLING/EXPANSION OF COLDER CLOUD TOPS. INITIALLY 2 SEPARATE
BROKEN LINES OF CONVECTION FORMED BUT RECENT TRENDS SUGGEST ACTIVITY IS
CONSOLIDATING. VERY MOIST AIR RESIDES JUST TO THE SOUTH OF CONVECTION
WITH LOW TO MID 70S SFC DEWPOINT MAX CENTERED AROUND BORDER REGION OF
KS/OK/MO/AR. GOES SOUNDER DATA INDICATES HIGHER PW VALUES OVER 1.75"
TO POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 2.0" HAVE POOLED IN THIS REGION AS WELL WHICH
IS SUPPORTED IN LATEST SHORT TERM RUC FORECAST. THIS ABUNDANT MOISTURE
SUPPLY AND THE RAPID CLOUD TOP INTENSIFICATION SUPPORTS SATELLITE BASED
ESTIMATED RAINFALL RATES OF AT LEAST 1.5"-2.0"/HR WITH LOCALIZED RATES
OVER 2" WITH THE STRONGEST CORES AND NEAR CELL MERGERS. PROFILER NETWORK
AND VWP DATA HAVE SHOWN A SLIGHT INCREASE AND SOME VEERING WITH LOW LEVEL
JET DIRECTED INTO SW END OF CONVECTION. THIS ALONG WITH THE WEST TO EAST
ORIENTATION OF THE ACTIVITY COULD ALLOW FOR MORE OF A CELL TRAINING/HEAVY
RAINFALL SITUATION AS THE AREA PROGRESSES MORE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH. AN
ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOULD BE AVAILABLE IN APPROXIMATELY 10
MINUTES ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3856 9673 3852 9172 3729 9175 3732 9688
.
NNNN