ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/27/08 1928Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1915Z  CK
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LOCATION...SW TEXAS...S NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...POTENTIAL FOR MOD/HVY CNVTN
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS NW-SE SHORT WAVE
EXTENDING FM NE AZ TO W OF JEFF DAVIS COUNTY/TX. BASE OF SHORT WAVE
IS SLIDING EWD..WHILE SUBTROPICAL JET/PLUME STREAMS NEWD ALONG THE
BASE..GTWS THE SW TX/MX BORDER. GOES WINDS ANALYSIS SHOWS EMBEDDED JET
STREAK EXTENDS FM SW OF BAJA..WITH LEADING EDGE APPCHG SW TX. COMBINATION
OF APPCHG SHORT WAVE AND JET STREAK SHOULD HELP ENHANCE UPWARD MOTION OVER
SW TX. THIS..COMBINED WITH RECENT GOES SOUNDER DPI TREND OF INCRG PW AND
INSTABILITY AND DECRG CINH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
OVER SW TX AND S NM. IN ADDITION..IR AND VIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWING VORT
OVER HUDSPETH COUNTY/TX MOVG NE.
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ATTM..SFC TEMP/DEW POINT SPREAD IS AROUND 40DEG OR MORE. THUS..INITIAL
RAIN FM SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE EXPENDED IN MOISTENING UP
ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER..BEGINNING TO SEE LOTS OF CU/TCU/AND SOME LOW TOP
CBS..ESP OVER JEFF DAVIS/PRESIDIO/W BREWSTER COUNTIES. AND WITH LOW TO MID
LEVEL WINDS ON THE LIGHT SIDE..STMS THAT FORM WILL BE SLOW MOVERS..AND
WITH SOME MERGERS WOULD ANTIPATE POCKETS OF MOD/HVY RAIN IS PSBL THIS
AFTN/EVE OVER SW TX AS WELL AS S NM. BUT WOULD NOT EXPECT A WIDESPREAD
HVY RAIN EVENT ATTM..DUE TO RELATIVELY LOW DP AND HIGH T/TD SPREAD.
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ANNOTATED GRAPHIC WILL BE AVAILABLE AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3276 10529 2929 10255 2864 10251 2840 10503 3214 10693
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