ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/27/08 0409Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0402Z		DS
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LOCATION...N KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...MERGERS OCCURRING OVER N CENTRAL KS...NRLY STNRY CELLS TO THE E
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR SHOWS A DANGEROUS HVY RAINFALL
SITUATION SET UP OVER N CENTRAL TO NE KS AS SQUALL LINE MOVING EWD
AHEAD OF S/WV ENERGY CROSSES THE STATE AND CELLS FROM IT ARE MERGING
INTO THE BACK END OF THE W-E ORIENTED MCS. MERGER IS IN PROCESS OF
OR ABOUT TO OCCUR OVER OSBORNE/MITCHELL COUNTIES AND THERE MAY BE
OTHERS AS THE LINE MOVES EWD. NEARLY DUE SRLY 80MB FLOW FROM S CENTRAL
KS/NW OK HAS POSITIONED MOIST INFLOW ALONG THE SRN END OF THE SQUALL
LINE AS WELL AS THE W-E ORIENTED CELLS THAT IT IS MERGING INTO BUT
SURPRISINGLY  RECENT IR/RADAR SHOW W-E DVLPMT BEHIND THE LINE TOO OVER
PARTS OF ROOKS/GRAHAM/SHERIDAN COUNTIES. WILL HAVE TO KEEP A WATCH ON
THIS AREA FOR BACKBUILDING CELLS. ESTIMATE PER STLT THAT IN AREAS WHERE
W-E ORIENTATION IS OBSERVED RAINRATES ARE 1.5-2"/HR AND WITH MERGERS
HAPPENING NOW..RATES ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE TO OVER 2.5"/HR.
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DEEP MOISTURE WITH PW VALUES TO 1.4-1.6" OVER N KS ALONG WITH W-E
ORIENTATION SHOULD ALLOW FOR AN AXIS OF HVY RAINFALL FROM E OF KHLC TO S
OF KCNK DURING NEXT 2-3 HRS..THOUGH THE PART OF THE LINE S OF KCNK HAS
DROPPED A BIT S IN MOST RECENT IMAGES SO THE HVY RAIN AXIS MAY REACH
DOWN TO KSLN. JUST NOTICED IN RECENT IR STLT IMAGERY LOOP WHAT APPEARS
TO BE A STRONG MCV CENTERED OVER THE GRAHAM/NORTON COUNTY BORDER NE OF
HLC..WHICH WILL CERTAINLY HAVE IMPLICATIONS AS IT MOVES EWD TONIGHT. SEE
WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3993 10010 3981 9635 3881 9579 3889 9747 3881 10009
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