ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/26/08 0533Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0515Z		DS
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...IOWA...
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ATTN WFOS...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...MCS SINKING SWD INTO LOW FFG OVER N MO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MCS IS SEEN IN IR IMAGERY SINKING
ACROSS THE MO/IA BORDER AND WILL BE BRINGING MORE HVY RAIN ON TOP OF
THE TORRENTIAL AMOUNTS SEEN YESTERDAY. DWPTS IN THE LOW 70S AHEAD OF
THE MCS AND PW VALUES 1.6-1.75" ARE PRESENT OVER N MO TO CONTINUE TO
HVY RAINS AS THEY MOVE INTO THE AREA. UNLIKE LAST NIGHTS EVENT..LLJ IS
NOT NEARLY AS STRONG..ONLY 20-25 KTS E KS INTO NW MO PER VWPS/PROFILERS
FROM THE SW. HOWEVER..A LITTLE MORE ORGANIZATION HAS SEEMINGLY OCCURRED
IN THE 850MB WIND FIELD BECOMING BETTER ALIGNED SO MAY BEGIN TO SEE AN
INCREASE IN THE COMING HRS. CERTAINLY HAS BEEN SOME RECENT MOISTENING AT
THE LOWER LVLS OVER NE OK/E KS THAT MAY BEGIN TO FEED NWD INTO THE COMPLEX
WITH CONTINUED STRENGTHENING OF LLJ. RELATIVE MIN IN PW FIELD SHOWED UP
IN SOUNDER/00Z PW ANALYSIS AND STILL EXISTS FROM SW MO ACROSS CENTRAL
IL TO LK MI. THIS BLOCK OF DRIER AIR HAS KEPT THE MCS FROM PROGRESSING
TOO FAR THE E/SE AND SHOULD ALLOW FOR CONTINUED SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE S
THROUGH MO. GREATEST THETA-E GRADIENT EXISTS FROM SW IA INTO N CENTRAL/NW
MO AND FEAR THAT IF THE 850 FLOW BEGINS TO INCREASE RAPIDLY..NEW STRONG
CELLS COULD EXPAND FROM THE WRN END OF THE LINE AFFECTING SEVERAL MORE
COUNTIES THAT RECIEVED HVY RAINS LAST NIGHT. AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES
HAVE BEEN PERFORMING POORLY DUE TO THE LARGE COLD TOP SHIELD BUT MANUEL
ESTIMATES YIELD MAX RAINRATES OF 2"/HR CURRENTLY OCCURRING. SWD MOVEMENT
OF LINE..WHICH HOPEFULLY CONTINUES SHOULD KEEP RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM
ACCUMULATING LIKE THEY LAST NIGHT BUT WTH SUCH LOW FFG WILL LIKELY STILL
CAUSE PROBLEMS. SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW SHORTLY FOR ANALYSIS GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4171 8934 3965 9013 3957 9390 4118 9400
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