ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES MSZ000-LAZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/25/08 2040Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2030Z KUSSELSON . LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA... . ATTN WFOS...MOB...JAN...LIX... ATTN RFCS...LMRFC... . EVENT...CELL MERGER CENTERED ON MARION COUNTY MS HAS WEAKENED...BUT CAN'T SAY THE SAME FOR SE TEXAS CONVECTION... . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NICE MERGER OF COOL CLOUD TOP AREAS S CENTRAL MS CENTERED ON MARION COUNTY...BUT HVY RAIN DID NOT LAST VERY LONG AS STABILITY QUICKLY TOOK OVER. CAN'T SAY THAT ABOUT CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CENTERED SW TO S CENTRAL/C LA THAT SHOT OUT AN OUTFLOW A COUPLE OF HRS EARLIER AND ON THE TAIL END SLOW MOVING HVY RAIN CELLS WAS CONTINUING TO SIT OVER PORTIONS OF THE HARDIN AND JEFFERSON COUNTY AREA OF SE TX. RESEARCH HAS SHOWED THAT DEEP MOISTURE FLOWS OUT ALONG THE OUTFLOW...IN THIS CASE SW LA INTO SE TEXAS AND SO WOULD BELIEVE THAT PW VALUES CAN BE AS HIGH AS 2.0" HERE AND HELPING TO PRODUCE THE EXCESSIVE RAIN IN A SMALL AREA OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THESE TYPES OF EVENT OCCURRING IN SURROUNDING E CENTRAL TO SE TX COUNTIES TILL THE SOLAR RADIATION DECREASES RAPIDLY. ALSO CONCERNED ABOUT FRONT END OF CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ACROSS CENTRAL LA WHERE THERE MAY BE A MERGER BETWEEN COOLING CLOUD TOPS CENTERED POINTE COUPEE PARISH AND INCOMING OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THAT COULD EXPAND EXCESSIVE RAINS NORTH TO LA SALLE PARISH. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR... . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3135 8929 3090 8928 3076 8993 3089 9018 3132 9014 . NNNN