ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/25/08 0731Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0715Z		DS
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LOCATION...W ILLINOIS...N MISSOURI...S IOWA...NE KANSAS...
LOCATION...SE NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...CONTINUING HVY RAINS ACROSS N MO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UNFORTUNATELY LITTLE HAS CHANGED DURING
THE PAST 3-4 HRS WITH REGARDS TO THE CELLS OVER NRN MO THAT CONTINUE TO
BACKBUILD AND REGENERATE CAUSING VERY HVY RAINFALL. IR/RADAR IMAGERY
SHOW THE WRN END OF THE LINE HAS BEEN TURNING SLIGHTLY RECENTLY AS
THE CENTER PART OF THE LINE SLOWLY DRIFTS SWD AND THE ERN END WITH THE
COLDEST TOPS IS MOVING DUE E INTO W IL. THIS HAS RESULTED IN A NW-SE
ORIENTATION ALONG THE STNRY BNDRY PRESENT ACROSS THE STATE WHERE THETA-E
GRADIENT IS PRESENT. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AREA OF SFC MOISTURE
CNVG EXTENDING WWD FROM THE WRN END OF THE CELLS ALONG THE ERN END OF
THE NEB/KS BORDER. GIVEN LATEST RUC MODEL RUN DEPICTING STRONG COMPACT
AREA OF UPPER LVL DVG CURRENTLY OVER NE KS/EXTREME SE NEB INTO NRN MO
AND GOES SOUNDER/GPS INDICATING LI'S IN NE KS OF -5 STILL..THERE IS
A POSSIBILITY THAT CELLS COULD BUILD FAR ENOUGH W TO REACH THE KS/MO
BORDER..THOUGH NOT A GUARANTEE. IF IT DOES..WILL LIKELY BE JUST N OF
KSTJ WHERE STNRY FRNT BECOMES E-W ORIENTED.
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AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES THROUGH 0645Z SHOWED A 6HR MAX JUST ABOVE 6" OVER
N MACON/N LINN COUNTIES BUT GIVEN THE COLD TOPS OF THE MCS BEING SHEARED
OFF TO THE E A BIT AND ALL THE BEST DVLPMT/HEAVIEST RAINS FORMING TO THE
W EXPECT THAT THIS MAX IS SHIFTED A COUNTY OR TWO TOO FAR E AND SHOULD
PROBABLY BE MORE OVER LIVINGSTON/LINN COUNTIES. LARGE CIRRUS SHIELD
AND BLOWN OFF COLD TOPS THOUGH HAVE CREATE LARGE OVERESTIMATES THOUGH
OUTSIDE OF THE CENTER OF THE LINE. WRN END OF THE LINE HAS STRETHCHED
NWWD TO THE MO/IA BORDER INVOF WORTH/TAYLOR COUNTIES WHILE ALONG THE
CENTER OF THE LINE..SOME SWWD BACKBUILDING HAS OCCURRED INTO THE 40KT
LLJ BUT HAS NOT MADE IT FAR. MAX PW VALUES ARE FCST TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY
NEWD BUT BECOME ELONGATED FROM SW-NE DURING ERLY MRNG HRS PER LATEST
RUC. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE HVY RAINS TO REMAIN FOCUSED OVER N MO
ALONG THE FRNT BUT MOD-HVY RAINS TO SPREAD NEWD INTO SE IA AS WELL. SEE
WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10 MIN. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4100 9057 3976 9043 3921 9574 4053 9628
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