ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/24/08 0114Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0102Z        CW
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LOCATION...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...E COLORADO...
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ATTN WFOS...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...CYS...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...EARLY INDICATIONS OF DEVELOPING MCS ALONG W NE/KS BORDER
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WITH 00Z AND 01Z SFC AND UA DATA AVAILABLE
AND RECENT TRENDS IN STLT IMAGERY IT SEEMS VERY LIKELY THAT LINE OF
CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO TRANSITION IN MCS PLACING IT ALONG THE W
NE/KS BORDER.  CLUSTER OF TSTMS ARE SEEN MERGING IN LAST DAYLIGHT IMAGES
OF VIS AND IR ANIMATION SHOWS LARGE AREA OF -63C AND BELOW CLOUD TOP
TEMPS FROM AKO/CO SE TO GLD/KS N TO LBF AND NW TO AIA IN NE.  STORMS ARE
SEEM MERGING ALONG 85H AND SFC THETA-E RIDGE AXIS IS POSTIONED (SSE-NNW
ACROSS W KS/W AND CENTRAL NE/SW SD).  CONTINUED LLVL MOISTURE ADVECTION
IS EXPECTED BASED ON PROFILER DATA AND RUC MODEL AS A 30 KT LLVL JET
SHOULD ALLOW FOR 1.25-1.50" PW VALUES TO FLOW NWD INTO KS/NE THIS EVENING.
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CURRENT THINKING IS MCS SHOULD TRAVEL ALMOST DUE E ACROSS S NE/N KS BASED
ON EASTERLY MID-LVL FLOW AND LOCATION OF THETA-E FIELDS.  VERY HVY RAINS
SHOULD BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THIS MCS AND THIS COULD VERY WELL
POSE A FLOODING PROBLEM AS 3-HR FFG VALUES ARE SEEN TO BE AT A RELATIVE
MIN ACROSS THIS AREA (1.0-1.5").
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR STLT GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4216 9849 3864 9833 3901 10301 4155 10352
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