ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/23/08 2351Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2340Z         CW
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LOCATION...W KANSAS...SW NEBRASKA...E COLORADO...
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ATTN WFOS...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...VERY SLOW MOVING S-N ORIENTED LINE OF CONVECTION PRODUCING HVY
RAINS AND IT HAS THE LIKELIHOOD OF DEVELOPING INTO MCS LATER.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST IR IMAGERY SHOWS A LINE OF
COLD TOPPED CONVECTION CELLS ADVANCING VERY SLOWLY TO THE E ACROSS W
NE/E CO/SW KS. CLOUD TOP TEMPS ARE ANALYZED TO BE DOWN AROUND -63C WITH
OVERSHOOTING TOPS NEAR -67C.  VERY HVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ACCOMPANYING THESE
STORMS AND WILL SLOW PROGRESSION TO THE E..THREAT OF HVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
LIKELY ARE OCCURRING AT THIS HR.  IN PARTICULAR..THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
WHERE PROLONGED HVY RAINFALL FROM TSTMS INCLUDE..MORTON/ STANTON CO IN
SW KS..KIOWA/CHEYENNE CO IN E CO..LOGAN CO IN NE CO.  ADDITIONAL 1-2"
MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 60-90 MINS OVER THESE SAME AREAS.
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THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO TWO MID-LVL FORCING
MECHANISMS..ONE IS LOCATED OVER W SD/W ND AND THE SECOND AN IMPULSE
COMING ACROSS N AZ/N NM/SW CO.  BOTH ARE PROVIDING ENHANCED LIFT FOR
THESE STORMS TO WORK OFF OF.
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THE NEXT CONCERN WILL BE FOR THIS LINEAR S-N CONVECTIVE LINE TO BECOME
MORE ORGANIZED AND POTENTIALLY DEVELOP INTO AN MCS IN THE COMING HRS
ACROSS SW NE/W KS.  HIGHER AMOUNTS OF LLVL MOISTURE (PW VALUES AOA 1.2")
IS POOLED ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NE/KS ALONG WITH DECENT MOISTURE
ADVECTION AS FLOW IS SHOWN TO BE SE AT 20-25 KTS.  SFC THETA-E  RIDGE AXIS
AND POOL OF 60F TDS IS OBJECTIVELY ANALYZED TO BE ACROSS N KS/CENTRAL
NE..A FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR MCS DEVELOPMENT.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE SITUATION TO SEE IF/WHERE MCS SETS UP.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4196 10059 3712 10007 3717 10298 4194 10394
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