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NCZ000-SCZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/23/08 0130Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0115Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...
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ATTN WFOS...RAH...CAE...GSP...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING/TRAINING CONVECTION FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...OVER THE LAST 1-2 HOURS A NARROW BUT
ENHANCED LINE OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FROM APPROXIMATELY
UNION COUNTY NE TOWARDS DAVIDSON COUNTY.  THE LINE APPEARS AS THOUGH IT
HAS BEEN ENHANCED OVER THE LAST HOUR FROM A BOUNDARY COLLISION FROM WHAT
APPEARED TO BE A WESTWARD MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  CONVECTION APPEARS
TO BE OCCURRING ALONG THE NOSE OF 60 KT SUBTROPICAL JET STREAK LIFTING
NE OUT OF AL/GA PER LATEST WV IMAGERY AND GOES HIGH DENSITY WINDS.
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0Z UA ANALYSIS WAS SHOWING SEVERAL FAVORABLE PARAMETERS FOR HEAVY RAIN
OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA.  THE FIRST BEING A VERY WELL DEFINED 85H THETA-E
RIDGE AXIS FROM UPSTATE SC INTO W NC.  ADDITIONALLY, A RATHER WELL DEFINED
1000-500MB DIFFLUENT THICKNESS PATTERN WAS LOCATED NEAR DISCUSSION AREA.
THIS WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP
TOWARDS 85H THETA-E RIDGE AXIS WHILE TRAINING DOWNSTREAM.
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ON THE STORM SCALE THE MOST IMPRESSIVE SATELLITE SIGNATURES FOR HEAVY
RAIN CURRENTLY APPEAR TO BE LOCATED OVER UNION COUNTY IN SC AND ALSO
FROM GASTON TO CABARRUS COUNTY.  THE AFOREMENTIONED REGION IS NEAR THE
UPWIND EDGE OF THE ENHANCED LINE OF CONVECTION AND ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS AS
THOUGH CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO LIFT OUT TO THE ENE THERE IS A VERY WELL
DEFINED OVERSHOOTING TOP ON LATEST 0115Z IMAGERY AND THIS WOULD SUGGEST
RAINFALL RATES LIKELY RUNNING AROUND 1.5"/HR.  FURTHER TO THE NE, HAVE
SEEN A TENDENCY FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUOUSLY TRAIN FROM GASTON COUNTY
ENE TOWARDS CABARRUS COUNTY.  THE MOST PERSISTENT CONVECTION APPEARED
TO BE CENTERED OVER CABARRUS COUNTY WHERE RAINFALL ESTIMATES OF 2.0-3.0"
ARE ESTIMATED.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3585 8059 3570 8002 3545 7995 3492 8062 3447 8173 3449
8219 3475 8223 3517 8187 3539 8168 3580 8115
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