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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/21/08 2315Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2255Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...LOCALIZED CONVECTION OVER/NEAR THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SW NM AND SE
AZ PRODUCING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONVECTION HAS BEEN CONTINUOUSLY
REDEVELOPING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SW NM AND SE AZ OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS AND AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE RUNNING BETWEEN 1.0-1.5"
OVER SE GRANT COUNTY.  THE LARGE SCALE PICTURE SHOWS SEVERAL IMPULSES
RIDING ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL PLUME OF MOISTURE COMING INTO S CA.
THE LEADING IMPULSE HAS BEEN INCREASINGLY DEAMPLIFYING WITH TIME AND
IS PROBABLY SOMEWHERE IN THE VIC OF THE 4-CORNERS REGION.  A TRAILING
AND STRONGER IMPULSE WAS NOTED ON WV IMAGERY COMING INTO S NV.  BOTH OF
THE ABOVE MENTIONED FEATURES COMBINED WITH SATELLITE DERIVED 50 KT JET
STREAK ASSOCIATED WITH DRYING ON WV IMAGERY OVER THE TX PANHANDLE HELPING
TO PROVIDE SUBTLE SYNOPTIC FORCING/DESTABILIZATION FOR CONVECTION OVER
FAVORED AREAS.
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ON THE STORM SCALE THE BEST SATELLITE PRESENTATION APPEARS TO BE WITH THE
CELL OVER N LUNA COUNTY.  THIS CELL HAS BEEN MOVING RATHER RAPIDLY OVER
THE LAST 30 MINUTES AND IT LOOKS AS THOUGH IT SHOULD MERGE WITH THE CELL
OVER S GRANT/E HIDALGO COUNTY.  WOULD EXPECT A LOCAL BURST OF RAINFALL
RATES THAT COULD EXCEED 1.0"/HR SW OF DEMING WHERE THE MERGER OCCURS.
HAVE ALSO NOTED A RAPID EXPANSION AND INCREASING VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT
TO THE CU/TCU/CB FIELD FROM GRAHAM TO HIDALGO COUNTY AND THIS LOOKS TO
BE THE NEXT AREA FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRAIN
ON FAVORED TERRAIN.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3369 10696 3296 10657 3193 10745 3093 10842 3183 10930
3237 11011 3299 10983 3353 10918 3329 10860 3326 10767
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