ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/17/08 0601Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0545Z       CW
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LOCATION...OKLAHOMA...S KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SHV...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...MID-LVL IMPULSE MOVING EWD ACROSS CO COULD BE THE FORCING NEEDED
TO SPARK CONVECTION AND HVY RAINS ACROSS S KS/OK LATER THIS EVENING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MUCH OF TODAYS CONVECTION ACROSS OK HAS
DISSIPATED ACROSS THE STATE AND THE SFC BOUNDARY ANALYZED AT 5Z IS SEEN
DRAPED W-E ACROSS S OK/N TX BORDER.  HOWEVER..85H WINDS FROM PROFILER/VWP
DATA ACROSS E TX/S OK SHOW WINDS ARE FROM THE SSE AT 20-30 KTS.  THIS WEAK
LLVL JET IS HELPING TO RETURN HIGHER PW VALUES INTO C OK WITH STLT AND 5Z
SFC ANALYSIS INDICATING BETWEEN 1.5-1.7" POOLED OVER MUCH OF THE STATE.
LI VALUES FROM GOES SUGGESTS -5 TO -6 ACROSS W OK AND CAPE FROM 00Z
OUN RAOB WAS REPORTING AROUND 2000 J/KG AS WELL AS A K-INDEX OF 43.
THIS INCREASE IN LLVL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SEEMS TO HINT THAT THE
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO RE-DEVELOP THIS EVENING IS THERE..NOW ALL
THAT IS NEEDED IS A LIFTING MECHANISM...
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BASED ON LATEST WV IMAGERY AT 0445Z THAT LIFTING MECHANISM MAY COME
FROM A MID-LVL IMPULSE MOVING EWD ACROSS W CO (PROBABLY INTO C CO AT
THIS TIME).  IT LOOKS AS IF THIS IMPULSE/WAVE SHOULD CONTINUE EWD AND
BE NEAR W KS/W OK IN THE NEXT FEW HRS.  CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THIS
IMPULSE MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO IGNITE CONVECTION ACROSS S KS/OK
LATER THIS EVENING CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HVY RAINFALL.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR STLT GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3763 9987 3745 9619 3395 9475 3463 9976
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