ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/15/08 1437Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1415Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...MCS OVER SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...EARLY START AND FAVORABLE CONDS POINT TO
FULL DAY OF CNVTN WITH MCS DROPPING INTO NORTHEAST KS AND NW MO. LATEST
STLT DERIVED PARAMS SHOWING INCRG PW LIFTING INTO NORTHEAST KS (1.3
TO 1.5") AND IMPRESSIVE LI'S IN THE -10 TO -12 RANGE COVERING ALL OF
ERN KS AND TAPERING OFF TO -6 TO -8 IN WRN MO. GOES DERIVED CINH ALSO
INDICATING SUBSTANTIAL CAP OVER ERN KS BUT THIS DOESN'T SEEM TO HAVE
INHIBITED CNVTN THUS FAR. OVERSHOOTING TOPS WITH CLD TOP TEMPS TO -63C
AIDING IN HIGHER RAINFALL RATES.
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MCS HAS BEEN PROGRESSIVE..ESP NRN END WHERE MID LEVEL FLOW IS
STRONGER..AND THIS IS HELPING KEEP RAINFALL TOTS DOWN. HOWEVER..SRN END OF
SYSTEM IS SLOWER MVG AND FFG VALUES ARE QUITE LOW THROUGHOUT THE RGN AND
THEREFORE FF THREAT IS HEIGHTENED. AREA OF MOST CONCERN ATTM IS EXTRM SE
NEBRASKA COUNTIES AND NRN TIER OF COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST KS WHERE MVMNT
IS SLOWEST..MOISTURE DEEPEST AND CLD TOP TEMPS COLDEST. MANUAL EST OF
MAX HLF HR RAINFALL WITH COLDER TOPS IS IN THE .6" TO .9" RANGE WITH
ARND 1.5" TOTS.
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QUICK LOOK AT 1415Z IMAGE SHOWS CLD TOPS COOLING EXPANDING ALG SW FLANK
OVER GAGE COUNTY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4145 9607 4063 9436 3920 9549 4059 9754
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