ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/13/08 2030Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2015Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...LZK...SGF...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE TRAINING CONTINUES FROM NE OK THROUGH SW MO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LARGE SCALE PATTERN CONTINUES TO LOOK
FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN FROM NE OK THROUGH THE OZARKS OF SW MO FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  CURRENTLY CONVECTION LOOKS TO BE FOCUSING ALONG
AND NORTH OF REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLY MORNING CONVECTION.
MOST IMPRESSIVE STORM SCALE FEATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS JUST MOVED
JUST SE OF SGF.  THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN EXHIBITING SEVERAL OVERSHOOTING
TOPS OVER THE LAST 30-60 MINUTES AND WOULD IMAGINE THAT LOCAL RAINFALL
RATES ARE IN THE 1.25-1.50"/HR RANGE.  FURTHER UPSTREAM, A RATHER WELL
DEFINED CELL HAS RAPIDLY COOLED OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES AND THIS CELL
ALSO EXHIBITING A WELL DEFINED OVERSHOOTING TOP THAT IS MOVING THROUGH
S NEWTON/N MCDONALD COUNTY.  ALTHOUGH CELL HAS BEEN MOVING RAPIDLY,
BELIEVE A BRIEF SHOT OF 1.25-1.50"/HR RAINFALL RATES LIKELY WITH THIS
CELL AS IT MOVES INTO BARRY COUNTY OVER THE NEXT 30 MINUTES.
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POSITIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE TROF NOW PROGRESSING THROUGH NE/KS SHOULD HELP
TO KEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DIRECTED INTO THE MULTITUDE OF SMALL SCALE
BOUNDARIES CURRENTLY OVER REGION.  IN ADDITION, WELL DEFINED ENTRANCE
REGION OF WESTERN LAKES UL JET MAX AND THICKNESS DIFFLUENCE SHOULD ALLOW
FOR CONTINUED FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE SUPPORT FOR HEAVY RAIN CONDITIONS
ON THE SHORT TERM.  BELIEVE THAT THREAT EXISTS FOR CONTINUED UPSTREAM
DEVELOPMENT WITH DOWNSTREAM TRAINING AS OBJECTIVELY ANALYZED MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE MAX AND GOES SOUNDER LI APPEAR TO BE ROUGHLY COLLOCATED
UPSTREAM OVER CNTRL OK.
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AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT 2-4" OF RAIN HAS FELL
OVER THE PAST 6HRS FROM ROUGHLY LAWRENCE COUNTY NE TO LACLEDE COUNTY.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3763 9225 3740 9172 3691 9207 3601 9446 3582 9601 3633
9637 3671 9526 3724 9390
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