ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/13/08 1635Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1615Z		DS
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LOCATION...INDIANA...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT..COOLING CLOUD TOPS..HVY RAINS DVLPG QUICKLY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CELLS OVER SW/WRN IND ALONG AN OLD BNDRY
HAVE SHOWN FAIRLY RAPID COOLING OVER PAST HR WITH IR INDICATING THE CELL
OVER W CENTRAL IN HAVING A CLOUD TOP TEMP OF -64 AND THOSE OVER SW PART
OF THE STATE AT -62C IN 1615Z IMAGE. 12Z PW ANALYSIS FROM RAOBS INDICATED
NEAR 1.8" PW'S FROM SE MO ACROSS SRN IL TO FAR SW IND THAT HAS MOVED NEWD
WITH THE MO MCS DURING THE MORNING HRS. RECENT GOES SOUNDER/GPS VALUES
INDICATE EVEN HIGHER PW VALUES NOW ACROSS W KY/W TN/SE IL/SW IN THAT IS
AOA 2". CELLS ARE ALSO BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG AN OUTFLOW BNDRY ACROSS
IL FROM KFAM/MO TO KCMI/IL WITH CLOUD TOP TEMPS BREAKING INTO THE LOW
-60C RANGE AT 1602Z. SOUNDER LI'S SHOW AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT PRESENT
FOR ADDTL CELL DVLPMT AS DAYTIME HEATING CONTINUES AND WEAK BUT FAIRLY
CONSTANT SWRLY 850MB FLOW PER VWPS ACROSS N MS/W TN/W KY CONTINUES TO
BRING IN WARM MOIST AIR. VIS SHOWS NUMEROUS DVLPG CELLS INITIATING OVER
N MS/W TN THAT SHOULD FLOW NNEWD WITH THE 850 WINDS INTO SW/S CENTRAL IND
DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS. ALSO AM CONCERNED FOR FILLING IN/MERGING BETWEEN
THE CELLS OVER IND AND THOSE ADVANCING EWD FROM IL ALONG THE OUTFLOW. WITH
THE VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT PRESENT AND MERGING OF CELLS LIKELY..EXPECT
RAINRATES OF 1.5-2"/HR WILL BE COMMON WITH RATES UP TO 3"/HR POSSIBLE. SEE
WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN ABOUT 10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC ANALYSIS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4056 8501 3834 8640 3769 9110 4011 8881
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