ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
WIZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/12/08 1017Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1000Z KUSELSON
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LOCATION...W AND SW WISCONSIN...EXT W ILLINOIS...NW AND N
MISSOURI... LOCATION...IOWA...E KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...SLIGHTLY WEAKENING PARAMETERS...BUT STILL HVY RAIN BURSTS OVER
WET SOIL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE SHOWED MAIN UPPER MIGRATING
OVER TO NE MONTANA.  AT LEAST A COUPLE OF VORT LOBES ON BACK SIDE NEAR
OREGON-NV BORDER...N UT....S CENTRAL MONTANA/N WY THAT WERE HANGING
BACK THE TROUGH AND ESSENTIALLY BEGINNING TO WEAKEN THE PUSH OF MIDWEST
BAROCLINIC FRONTAL BAND FROM KS TO MN.  AS A RESULT...DEEP MOISTURE AND
MOISTURE TRANSPORT WERE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN/SPLIT EASTWARD AND SHOULD
EVENTUALLY TRANSLATE INTO LOWER RAIN RATES/AMOUNTS NEXT SEVERAL HRS THE
FURTHER EAST CONVECTIVE BAND GETS..IE MO TO WI.   CURRENTLY CONVECTION
STILL ACTIVE ENOUGH OVER SATURATED SOILS TO HELP KEEP FLOOD POTENTIAL
GOING FAR EASTERN KS THRU NW MO AND S CENTRAL IA TO NE IA AND SW WI...BUT
RAIN AMOUNTS BEGINNING TO TREND TOWARD WEAKENING DUE TO DEEP MOISTURE
GETTING TO FAR AHEAD OF UPPER SUPPORT AND INTO WESTERN EXTENT OF PW MIN
SO THAT HIGHER AMOUNTS OBSERVED FURTHER WEST EARLIER NOT CONTINUING AS
BAND MOVES EAST.   STILL MOST NOTICEABLE COLD CLOUD TOP WAVE (CONVECTIVE
COMMA CLOUD AND TAIL) VERY ACTIVE ON BACK EDGE OF CONVECTIVE BAND AND
WEST END OF DEEP MOISTURE PLUME OF NEARLY 2.0"
NW MO/NE KS THRU S CENTRAL IA AND THIS WAVE WILL TAKE A SHOT AT AFFECTING
SE TO NE AND E CENTRAL IA NEXT SEVERAL HRS FOR THE PRODUCTION OF HVY
RAIN BURSTS THAT CAN RESULT IN 1-2 INCHES OVER 1-2HRS.
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALTHOUGH NARROWING AND NOT QUITE AS GOOD AS EARLIER
IN THE NIGHT...STILL ALLOWING A FOCUS THRU E HALF OF IA INTO SW WI FOR A
TIME THIS MORNING THAT WOULD HEIGHTEN FF THREAT BEFORE BAND WEAKENS LATER
THIS MORNING AND REORGANIZES A LITTLE FURTHER WEST FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND CLOSELY WATCH COLD TOPS ASSOCIATED WITH S
IA WAVE AS THEY HEAD TOWARD WATER LOGGED E IA...
SW WI AND FAR W ILLINOIS.   SEE SATELLITE ESTIMATE GRAPHIC SHORTLY WITH
GENERAL MAX AMOUNTS OF 2-2.8"/3HRS ON WEB PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW ALONG
WITH SATELLITE ANALYSIS GRAPHIC...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4370 9077 4237 9012 4028 9283 3865 9486 3907 9566 3985
9492
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