ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/11/08 1120Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12/11 1100Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W CENTRAL MINNESOTA...NE TO E CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...
LOCATION...C TO SE NORTH DAKOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...ANOMOLOUS TROF AND JET FORCING ON TOP OF ABOVE NORMAL
MOISTURE...FOR HIGH IMPACT EVENT FOR THE TIME OF YEAR...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TO THE SOUTH AND ITS
OUTFLOW HAS CREATED A DEEP RETURN OF PW MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN
NEBRASKA/W IA THAT IS BEING ADVECTED NORTH AND NE CONVEYOR BELT STYLE
INTO NE SD AND E AND CENTRAL ND.  PW VALUES SHOOTING UP TO NEAR 1.5"
AND THAT GETTING CLOSE TO 2 STANDARD DEVS ABOVE CLIMO IN E SD.  AND WITH
CONTINUE ADVECTION OF MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH AND SE AND SHORT WAVE
FORCING PUSHING ACROSS CENTRAL SD AND ND AND STILL JET BACK ACROSS E MT/W
ND...WILL CONTINUE TO BE A HEAVY RAIN SCENARIO NE SD INTO ND SPREADING
INTO W CENTRAL MN THIS MORNING.  THOUGH SOIL CONDITIONS ARE WETTER TO THE
SOUTH AND SE...THIS MUCH RAIN IN THIS SHORT OF TIME WILL AT LEAST CAUSE
LOCALIZED URBAN TYPE FLOODING PROBLEMS AS DAILY RECORD PRECIP AMOUNTS
COULD BE IN JEOPARDY OF BEING SURPASSED.  SATELLITE RAINFALL ESTIMATES
FOR 3HRS HAVE LOWERED A BIT FROM N SD INTO ND WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY IN
THE 1.0"-1.8" RANGE IN THE 3HRS ENDING AT 1045Z AND CLOSE TO 4 INCHES
FOR A 6HR PERIOD IN S CENTRAL ND...SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF SATELLITE
ESTIMATES SHORTLY AT HOME PAGE ADDRESS BELOW.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4743 10192 4742 9589 4525 9520 4450 9834 4479 9946
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