ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/10/08 2312Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2245Z         CW
.
LOCATION...W NEW JERSEY...E PENNSYLVANIA...
.
ATTN WFOS...OKX...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...
.
EVENT...CELL MERGERS VERY LIKELY ALONG LINEAR ORIENTED CONVECTIVE LINE
OF CELLS
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...A LINEAR ORIENTED LINE OF CONVECTIVE
CELLS HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SE PA..INVOF
LANCASTER/BERKS/LEHIGH COUNTIES.  THIS LINE IS ORIENTED SW TO NE AND IS
MOVING RATHER SLOWLY TO THE NNE..APPOACHING W-CENTRAL/NW NJ..SEEMINGLY
TRAVELING ALONG THE SFC THETA-E RIDGE AXIS BASED ON 22Z ANALYSIS.
CLOUD TOP TEMPS HAVE COOLED IN THE LAST 30 MINS FROM -65C (2215Z) TO
-70C (2245Z).  MULTIPLE OVERSHOOTING TOPS CAN BE EASILY SEEN IN VIS
IMAGERY ACROSS SE-E/CENTRAL PA AND IT APPEARS VERY LIKELY THAT SOME OF
THESE INDIVIDUAL CELLS EMBEDDED IN THIS CONVECTIVE LINE WILL MERGE WITH
OTHERS..WHICH WOULD BE CONCERN FOR EVEN HIGHER RAIN RATES THEN WHAT IS
BEING SEEN NOW.  MANUAL STLT ESTIMATES SUGGEST RATES HAVE BEEN UPWARDS
OF 1.0-1.5"/HR AND WITH MERGERS EXPECTED THIS COULD JUMP TO 1.5-2.0"/HR
FOR BRIEF PERIODS DURING THE MERGERS.  ADDITIONAL 1-2" OF RAINFALL SEEMS
REASONABLE FROM LNS/PA NEWD TO ABOUT FWN/NJ OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4158 7518 4104 7426 3944 7571 3996 7700
.
NNNN