ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/10/08 0125Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0115Z		DS
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LOCATION...W KENTUCKY...S/SW INDIANA...S ILLINOIS...SE MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT...HVY RAINS TO AGAIN MOVE ACROSS S IL/IN
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MCS NOW OVER AR AS BEGINNING TO EXPAND NWD
IN IR IMAGERY WITH COOLING CLOUD TOPS OVER EARLY EVENING HRS BUT WITHIN
THE PAST 2 HRS..A RAPID WARMING TREND HAS BEEN NOTICED WITH SOME PARTS OF
THE MCS..MOSTLY ON THE NRN END COLLAPSING COMPLETELY. WITH THE COLLAPSE
OF ONE CLUSTER AS IT MOVED INTO SE MO FROM NE AR IT CAUSED WEAKER STORMS
FARTHER TO THE NE OVER S IL/SW IN TO RAPIDLY ENHANCE INCLUDING A LARGE
GROUP OF CELLS INVOF KCGI. FOR THIS REASON IT LOOKS ON IR AS IF THE CLOUD
TOPS RAPIDLY JUMP FROM NEAR THE AR/MO BORDER TO THE IL/MO BORDER. CELLS
WILL BE MOVING TO THE NE ACROSS AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY SEEN HVY RAINS
TODAY AND OVER PARTS OF IN THAT HAVE HAD EXTENSIVE FLOODING.
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THOUGH COLD FRNT IS PROGGED ALONG THE MO/IL/KY SHARED BORDER AREA INTO
SW IN..OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES THETA-E AXIS WRAPS NWD TO W KY AND
THEN BACK TO THE NW INTO SE IL ALONG THE IN/IL BORDER. DWPTS ALONG THE
FRNT INVOF THE NEW CNVTN ARE IN THE HIGH 60'S AND LOW 70S STILL WITH GOES
SOUNDER PW VALUES STILL 1.7-1.8" THOUGH THIS IS UNFORTUNATELY MISSED BY
00Z RAOBS. 20-30KT 850 FLOW IS NOW FEEDING IN FROM THE GULF COAST REGION
ACROSS LA/MS AND IS SSWRLY/SRLY UP TO S IL..LIKELY TO INCREASE A BIT AS
THE DAY ENDS. LAST FEW VIS IMAGES SHOW OVERSHOOTING TOPS ON THE CELLS
ACROSS S IL AND AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES GIVE RAINRATES OF 1-1.5"/HR
CURRENTLY..BUT DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE OVERSHOOTING TOPS AND RAINRATES
OF UP TO 2" MAY BE REACHED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AS THEY TRAIN NEWD
ACROSS SE IL/SW/CENTRAL IN. SOME MERGERS ALSO APPEAR TO BE TAKING PLACE
CURRENTLY THAT WILL INCREASE RATES. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC ANALYSIS
IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4134 8572 3944 8510 3669 8857 3692 9016 4032 8818
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