ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/09/08 1851Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1815Z		DS
.
LOCATION...INDIANA...S/E ILLINOIS...SE MISSOURI...
.
ATTN WFOS...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...
.
EVENT...TRAINING CELL SITUATION SETTING UP
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CELLS HAVE BEEN SEEN RAPIDLY INCREASING
ALONG THE FRNT FROM SE MO ACROSS S IL AND FROM SW-NE ACROSS IN. NUMEROUS
TOWERING CU AND MANY ALREADY INITIATED CELLS ARE SEEN PROGRESSING FROM
SW-NE ON VIS IMAGERY WITHIN THE FAIRLY UNIFORM SWRLY FLOW FROM SFC-UPPER
LVLS PER RECENT PROFILERS IN SE MO/N IN..WHICH WILL DEFINITELY ALLOW FOR
CELLS TO BE HVY RAIN PRODUCERS. THE FIRST INITIATED CELLS OVER S IL INTO
W CENTRAL IN HAVE CLOUD TOPS OF -50C TO -60C BUT WILL CONTINUE TO COOL
AND EXPAND ALONG THE BNDRY TO THE NE AND SOMEWHAT MORE TO THE SW. WITH
FLOODING CONDITIONS HAVING ALREADY EXISTED OVER PARTS OF W CENTRAL IN THIS
PAST WEEKEND..THIS AREA IS OF MOST CONCERN THOUGH THE TRAINING OF CELLS
MAY ALLOW FOR OTHER AREAS ALONG THE LINE TO HAVE FF CONCERNS AS WELL. GOES
SOUNDER/GPS VALUES INDICATE 1.7-1.95" PW VALUES ARE POOLED ALONG THE BNDRY
AND AOA 70F DWPTS ALSO SHOW THAT RICH MOISTURE IS IN PLACE. SWRLY 850 FLOW
ALONG THE SAME PATH AS THE LINE OF STORMS..THOUGH NOT TOO STRONG..WILL
STILL BE ADDING TO THE MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE. LI'S OF -4 TO -6 SHOWN
BY GOES SOUNDER INDICATE THAT ADDTL CELLS WILL LIKELY BE INITIATING OVER
EXTREME SE MO AND INTO N IN/NW OH. EXPECT RAINFALL RATES OF 1-1.5"/HR
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HRLY RAINFALL TOTALS NEARLY THE SAME ONCE STORMS
INCREASE DUE TO THE REPEATED MOVEMENT OF CELLS OVER THE SAME AREAS. SEE
WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4122 8663 4054 8488 3693 8954 3737 9034
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-