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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/09/08 0404Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0345Z  GG
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LOCATION...TEXAS PANHANDLE...NW OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...OUN...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...UPWIND DEVELOPMENT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV LOOP SHOWS MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX ROUND
THE BASE OF THE WESTERN TROF AND ORIENTING NEARLY W-E WITH FAVORABLE EXIT
DYNAMICS SET UP SW KS/NW OK.  THIS ALONG WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
FLOW IS LEADING TO FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AS FLOW NORTH OF THE FRONT
REMAINS QUITE BRISK FROM THE NE. PWS ARE RUNNNING AROUND 1.1" TO 1.4"
ACROSS THE DEVELOPMENT REGION...BUT 1.5-1.7" PER GOES SOUNDER ARE BEING
LIFTED NORTWARD ALONG THE 40-45KT LLJ... FOR GOOD MST FLUX WHICH WILL
MAINTAIN THE MCS AND LEAD TO GOOD TURNOVER TO RAIN TOTALS.  THE BIGGEST
CONCERN AT THIS TIME IS THE DEVELOPMENT LINES FROM CARSON COUNTY, TX TO
N BLAINE COUNTY,OK ARE ORIENTED NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE JET AXIS AND MAY
LEAD TO SERIOUS TRAINING OF THESE CELLS THAT ARE CAPABLE OF 1.5-2"/HR...SO
TOTALING OF 2-4" IN 3HRS COULD BE THE NORM WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS
WITH THE COLDEST TOPPED CELLS.  FOR EXAMPLE... TOPS APPROACHING -80C IN
N BLAINE COUNTY OK AS WELL AS TRACKING INTO DEEPER MOISTURE FIELDS COULD
LEAD TO MUCH HIGHER RATES OVER 2-3"/HR...WHERE RATES OF THAT SORT WILL
LEAD TO FF CONCERNS LET ALONE THE TRAINING SETUP.

WITH STRONG HEIGHT FALLS CONTINUED TO THE WEST WITH THE APPROACH OF THE
NEXT S/WV...EXPECT CONTINUED REDEVEOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT ACROSS
E TX PANHANDLE INTO OK...WILL CONTINUE TO UPDATE AS CONDITIONS CHANGE.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3628 10029 3625 9754 3473 9919 3410 10218 3580 10227
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