ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME  06/08/08 1835
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1825Z		DS
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LOCATION...SW MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...S NEW YORK...N NEW JERSEY...
LOCATION...N/NE PENNSYLVANIA...
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ATTN WFOS...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...CLE...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...OHRFC...
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EVENT...POSSIBLE TRAINING SITUATION SETTING UP OVER SRN NY/EXTREME NRN PA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV AND IR STLT IMAGERY BOTH SHOW A SMALL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT FORMED THIS MORNING AROUND 12Z AS IT CROSSED
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND IS NOW SITUATED NR THE MASON DIXON IN S
CENTRAL PA/N CENTRAL MD. SFC ANALYSIS REVEALS LOWEST PRESSURES ARE A
LITTLE FARTHER N THOUGH ALONG AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY SEEN ROTATING ACROSS
CENTRAL PA TO SWRN NY AND TIED TO THE MOVEMENT OF THE CIRCULATION. CELLS
HAVE FORMED E OF THE NRN END ON THE INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS SERN PA
AND BELIEVE THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE SOME TRAINING WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE
AFTRN HRS. CLOUD TOP TEMPS ARE AT -68C CURRENTLY ON THE LARGEST CELLS
CURRENTLY OVER DELAWARE COUNTY BUT OTHER SMALLER CELLS ARE BEGINNING TO
RAPIDLY COOL AS WELL. AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES HAVE SHOWN RATES OF UP TO
1.5-2"/HR HAVE BEEN OCCURRING WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS SO FAR AND EVEN
THOUGH FFG IS RELATIVELY HIGH..SEVERAL ROUNDS OF CELLS WILL BE ABLE TO
QUICKLY REACH THOSE NUMBERS.
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POOL OF HIGHER DWPTS NEAR 70F IS SEEN FROM E/CENTRAL MD NWD THROUGH E
PA AND S CENTRAL NY TO THE ERN END OF LK ONTARIO ASSCD AND CIRA BLENDED
TPW ANOMALY LOOP INDICATED 200% OF NORMAL PW'S OVER N PA/S NY THIS
MORNING. 1.8-2.1" PW VALUES ARE SHOWN BY GPS VALUES E OF A E CENTRAL PA
TO CENTRAL NY LINE. VIS SHOWS CELLS BECOMING ALIGNED W-E AND DROPPING
SLOWLY TO THE S CURRENTLY. EXPECT WILL SEE SOME ADDTL CELLS FILL IN FROM
NW PA ALONG THE PA/NY BORDER AND BUILDING INTO THE BACK TO STORMS OVER
SE PA DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HRS THOUGH ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM FARTHER TO
THE W WILL NOT HAVE AS MUCH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH. BIGGEST
THREAT APPEARS TO BE FOR SE NY/NE PA AND FOR A LITTLE LATER INTO CT/N
NJ/AND LONG ISLAND. ALSO THERE IS A BNDRY JUST SEEN IN VIS IMAGERY CU
FIELD THAT HAS FORMED FROM SE PA TO LONG ISLAND. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT
FOR ANY PROBLEMS AS THE OTHER CELLS DROP SEWD. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABUOT
10MIN FOR GRAPHIC ANALAYSIS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4394 7981 4215 7216 4045 7241 4192 8004
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