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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/07/08 0546Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 THRU 0532Z GG
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LOCATION...W INDIANA...C ILLINOIS...
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ATTN WFOS...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT...UPSTREAM REDEVELOPMENT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR TRENDS SHOW THE MAIN BULK OF VERY
COLD CLOUD TOPS OVER W AND CENTRAL IN HAVE CONTINUED TO WARM BUT
ARE STILL QUITE COLD WITH CONTINUED WEAK OVERSHOOTING TOP FEATURES
SEEN PERIODICALLY...THIS POCKET PARTICULLARY FROM SULLIVAN TO MORGAN
COUNTY IS STILL CAPABLE OF VERY HIGH RAIN RATES OVER 2"/HR PER HIGH
MST AVAILABILITY AND CONTINUED HIGH MST FLUX ALONG LEADING EDGE OF 40KT
LLJ FLOW.  3HR MANUAL ESTIMATES ALONG THE LINE HAVE BEEN RUNNING ABOUT
3-4" OVER SULLIVAN COUNTY.

UPSTREAM... WEAK WARM ADVECTION SEEN ON RUC2 ANALYSIS AND 850 CONFLUENCE
HAS LEAD TO GOOD ENOUGH CONVERGENCE/LIFT FOR REDEVELOPMENT UPSTREAM
IN CENTRAL IL WITH SOME ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT AS FAR WEST AS CALHOUN
AND JERSEY COUNTIES IN W IL.  TWO NEW CLUSTERS...CURENTLY CENTERED OVER
CUMBERLAND/N JASPER COUNTY AND FAYETTE INTO EFFINGHAM COUNTIES CONTINUE TO
EXPAND AND MERGE OVER AN AREA THAT HAS ALREADY HAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
EARLIER THIS EVENING.  CELL MOTION VECTOR ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW
A CONFLUENCE OF VECTORS OVER CENTRAL IL ALONG THE CURRENT SWATH AND
JUST NORTHWARD...WHICH INDICATES CONTINUED TRAINING THROUGHOUT THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER PWS IN THE 2.0" RANGE
AND HIGHER MST FLUX...THIS COULD LEAD TO POTENTIAL FOR TOTALS OVER 8"
IN SOME ISOLATED PLACES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3997 8656 3880 8636 3851 8954 3940 8975
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