ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/07/08 0148Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0130Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...CENTRAL INDIANA...ILLINOIS...CENTRAL MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...FLOW PATTERN WEAKENING...STILL HVY RAIN BURSTS POSSIBLE STL AREA
FROM CENTRAL MO CONVECTION...STILL KEEPING AN EYE ON CENTRAL IL
INTO INDIANA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...DEEP MOISTURE CONTINUES IN PLACE...HOWEVER
MOISTURE TRANSPORT NOT QUITE AS GOOD AS A FEW HRS AGO AS CONVECTIVE BAND
ORIENTATION HELPING TO REORIENT NARROW HIGH MOISTURE PLUME.   AND WITH
LOSS OF HEATING...CONVECTIVE FOCUS SEPARATING INTO LARGER LESS INTENSE
HEAVY RAIN AREA.   STILL CONCERNED FOR ADDITIONAL HVY RAIN CELLS FROM
SMALL CONVECTIVE COMPLEX NOW COMING ACROSS CENTRAL MO AREA CENTERED
ON MILLER/OSAGE COUNTY.  THIS COMPLEX CAN'T QUITE DECIDE TO FOLLOW
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHERE MOISTURE CONTNT LOWER OR CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY
WHERE MOISTURE MUCH DEEPER.  COMPROMISE SOLUTION COULD PUT HVY RAIN
INTO STL METRO AREA IN THE 0300 TO 0430Z TIME PERIOD WHEN RAIN RATES
OF 0.75 TO 1.5" COULD FALL IN AN HR OR SO.  WITH CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES
SPACED WIDER APART...TRAINING CELL POTENTIAL LESSENING OVER CENTRAL
ILLINOIS CENTERED STL MTRO AREA TO CLINTON/BOND COUNTY IL...BUT STILL
WILL BE CONCERNED FOR TRAINING CELLS EXTENDING INTO CENTRAL INDIANA AS
THAT PART OF THE BOUNDARY LAYS DOWN W TO E ALLOWING FOR TRAINING BURSTS
THE NEXT FEW HRS...IN VIC OF JASPER COUNTY IL TO JOHNSON COUNTY INDIANA.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...WILL SEND OUT A GRAPHICAL SATELLITE ANALYSIS
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT THE ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4023 8648 3948 8638 3785 8892 3734 9383 3841 9321 3917
8978
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