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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/06/08 2156Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2145Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W CENTRAL INDIANA...CENTRAL ILLINOIS...E CENTRAL MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...IND...ILX...LSX...SGF...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WAVE PASSING EAST OF ST.LOUIS TO TRACK JUST
NEAR OR MOSTLY SOUTH OF LEAD CONVECTION MOVING THRU E CENTRAL IL...CONCERN
ABOUT BOUNDARY AND WHERE TRAINING CELLS CAN SET UP THIS EVENING...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...-73C CLOUD TOP TEMP WITHIN WAVE NOW MOVING
ACROSS W CENTRAL/CENTRAL IL. MAIN COLD TOPS WILL FOLLOW NEAR OR JUST
SOUTH OF LEAD COLD TOPS ALONG BOUNDARY ACROSS E CENTRAL IL. SO HVYST
RAINS WON'T HIT RIGHT OVER SAME COUNTIES ACROSS CENTRAL IL...BUT WHERE
COLDEST CLOUD TOPS MOVE ACROSS IN NARROW PW MOISTURE PLUME CAN EASILY
GET 1-2 INCHES PER 20-60 MINUTES WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHTER RAINS FROM OTHER
COMPLEX EITHER BEFORE OR AFTER DEPENDING ON WHETHER IT IS NORTHERN PART
OF CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN PART OF CENTRAL IL. THIS WAVE OF THE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX WILL LAY DOWN BOUNDARY ACROSS S PORTION OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS FOR
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION COMING IN FROM E CENTRAL
MO COUNTIES. MAIN THRUST OF THIS CONVECTION WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF
ST LOUIS...BUT STILL FRINGE RAIN ON NORTHERN EXTENT COULD GIVE CLOSE
TO AN INCH IN AN HR. MO COMPLEX THOUGH SMALLER STILL ALONG NARROW
MOISTURE PLUME SO MOST INTENSE RAIN THOUGH OVER A SMALL AREA CAN STILL
GIVE NARROW AREA OF TWO INCHES PER HR...BUT THINKING MOSTLY SOUTH OF
ST LOUIS...BUT IT WILL BE CLOSE AS WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRIFTING NORTH
IN SW MO AND COULD BEGIN TO PUSH C MO CONVECTION BACK TOWARD ST LOUIS
DURING THE NEXT 1-2HRS.
FOR W CENTRAL INDIANA...BOUNDARY WILL LAY DOWN OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING
AND TRAINING COULD FOLLOW BTWEEN 23 AND 03Z...WILL MONITOR THAT CLOSELY.
SEE GRAPHICAL SATELLITE ANALYSIS ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4009 8715 3951 8722 3837 8948 3775 9101 3769 9200 3869
9016 3999 8767
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