ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES ILZ000-MOZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/06/08 2001Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1945Z KUSSELSON . LOCATION...CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SW TO E CENTRAL MISSOURI... . ATTN WFOS...LOT...ILX...LSX...SGF... ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC... . EVENT...CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY ACROSS MO AND IL FOR TRAINING CELLS... . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING PRETTY QUICKLY ACROSS S LAKE MI...NW INDIANA AND N ILLINOIS...BUT FURTHER SOUTH YOU GO IN ILLINOIS AND ESPECIALLY IN MISSOURI FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS STALLED AS UPPER LOW IN MINNESOTA GETS FURTHER AWAY FROM THAT AREA. JET AXIS FROM CENTRAL MO TO WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND RIGHT REAR QUAD OF JET ACTIVATING CONVECTION ALONG BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL TO E CENTRAL MO. CONCERN IS THAT THIS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS E CENTRAL MO CENTERED ON ST.LOUIS METRO AREA AND HEIGHTEN FF POTENTIAL THERE NEXT FEW HRS AND ALSO TRANSLATE ENE AND AFFECT CENTRAL ILLINOIS COUNTIES IN VIC OF STALLING BOUNDARY...IE ST.CLAIR/MADISON TO CHAMPAIGN COUNTY FOR THE NEXT FEW HRS. BROAD PW MOISTURE MAXING OUT AT CLOSE TO 2.0" FROM EASTERN HALF OF TX NARROWS TO SIMILAR MAX VALUES CENTRAL MO TO E CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW NEARLY PARALLEL THE NARROW MOISTURE PLUME ACROSS CENTRAL MO AND IL CAN EXPECT GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT THAT WOULD BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN TRAINING CELLS REPLENISHING HVY RAIN FALLING OUT OF THE CLOUDS. 2.0"/HR NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION AND A TRAINING SCENARIO COULD EASILY GIVE 4.0" IN A 2-4HR PERIOD ACROSS A NARROW AREA THRU THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY E CENTRAL MO THRU E CENTRAL ILLINOIS...POSSIBLY SPILLING INTO CENTRAL INDIANA. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...WE WILL SEND A SATELLITE ANALYSIS GRAPHICAL PRODUCT TO THE INTERNET AT THAT CAN BE VIEWED AT THE ADDRESS BELOW... . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 4065 8795 4025 8757 3867 8883 3731 9213 3779 9209 3871 9143 . NNNN