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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/05/08 1615Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1555Z		DS
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LOCATION...E NEBRASKA...SE SOUTH DAKOTA...W IOWA
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ATTN WFOS...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...RAPIDLY DVLPG CELLS OVER E CENTRAL NE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR SHOWS TSTORMS WHICH HAVE RAPIDLY DVLPD
N OF A WARM FRNT THAT IS LIFTING OUT OF N KS. SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES
SFC LOW IS JUST N OF KHLC CURRENTLY WITH SFC FLOW SEEN WRAPPING AROUND
FROM THE SE INTO SERN NE. PROFILERS/VWPS HAVE SHOWN 60KT 850MB JET
BECOMING MORE SRLY ACROSS E KS AND SE NE..PARTICULARLY IN THE PAST 2
HRS. WV IMAGERY SHOWS A S/WV LIFTING OUT NE CO THAT HAS HELPED TO RAPIDLY
INCREASE THE INSTABILITY AS IT ENTERS SW NE. PW VALUES ACROSS KS/NE..WHICH
HAVE INCREASED WITH THE STRONG LLJ BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE..ARE BETWEEN
1.5-1.8" ACROSS E KS INTO E NE/IA PER GOES SOUNDER/GPS VALUES. NOSE OF
THETA-E AXIS IS POSITIONED DIRECTLY INTO S CENTRAL NE AND WRAPS BACK THE
NW AROUND THE LOW. WITH CINH DECREASING OVER E NE AND ONE LINE OF STORMS
ALREADY PRESENT..EXPECT ADDTL CELLS WILL INITIATE IN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS
WITH CONTINUED SFC HEATING. OVER E KS THOUGH..GOES SOUNDER SHOWS MORE
CAPPING PRESENT THAT SHOULD FOR NOW KEEP STORMS LIMITED. CURRENT LINE
OF CELLS FROM MERRICK N TO ANTELOPE COUNTY APPEARS TO BE MOVING FAIRLY
QUICKLY TO THE NE THOUGH MERGERS WILL BE OCCURRING AS VIS/IR INDICATE
FILLING ALONG THE LINE TO CONNECT WITH THE CELLS NOW CROSSING INTO
SD. THESE MERGERS WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER KNOX/BON HOMME COUNTIES AND
POSSIBLY PART OF CEDAR COUNTY VERY SOON. WITH VERY LOW FFG OVER SOME
COUNTIES IN SD/NE IS QUITE A CONCERN EVEN THOUGH THE STORMS ARE MOVING
QUICKLY. ESTIMATE RAINFALL RATES OF 0.6"/HR CURRENTLY OCCURRING THOUGH
THESE WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE WITH ANY MERGERS. STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
SE SD/NW IA ALONG AN AXIS OF STRONG MOISTURE CNVG.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4369 9951 4340 9704 4038 9597 4029 9873
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