ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/03/08 1225Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1215Z      CW
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LOCATION...S MICHIGAN...N INDIANA...N ILLINOIS...N MISSOURI...
LOCATION...IOWA...
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ATTN WFOS...ILN...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...HVY RAIN FROM EWD MOVING MCS OVER IA EXPECTED TO BE NORTH OF
AREAS IMPACTED BY PREVIOUS MCS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST STLT TRENDS SHOW THAT PREVIOUS SLOW
MOVING MCS..NOW MOVING ACROSS S IL/S IN..IS PROGRESSING ALONG AND THIS
IS HELPING TO LIMIT HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS.  THIS MCS IS ALSO EXPECTED
TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EWD AND
INTERACTS WITH A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT.  FOCUS NOW SHIFTS TO THE PATH
OF THE SECOND MCS MOVING EWD ACROSS IA ALONG A SFC STATIONARY BOUNDARY.
BASED ON 9Z SFC ANALYSIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS DRAPED W-E ACROSS SE
IA INTO N IL/N IN.  THIS SECOND MCS IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW ALONG THE
BOUNDARY TAKING IT AND ITS ASSOCIATED HVY RAINS JUST NORTH OF WHERE THE
PREVIOUS MCS DUMPED ITS HVY RAIN.  SOME COUNTIES ACROSS CENTRAL IL MAY
GET CLIPPED BY THE SOUTHERN EDGES OF THE SECOND MCS WHICH MAY INCLUDE
HANDCOCK COUNTY EWD TO MCLEAN COUNTY..BUT FOR THE MOST PART THE HEAVIEST
RAINS SHOULD REMAIN JUST TO THEIR NORTH.
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LAST 3-HR RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM STLT ESTIMATES SHOW UP TO 1.5-2.0"
HAVE FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF IA.  AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
PUSH EWD STORMS MAY STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIMILAR AMOUNTS IN
3-HRS  THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF N IL/N IN AS A POOL OF 1.0-1.2"
PW VALUES BASED ON GOES SOUNDER AND 12Z RAOB IS CENTERED OVER S IL.
GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS EXPECTED AS VWP/PROFILER DATA SHOWS 35-40 KT
SSWLY LLVL JET ACROSS MO/S IL.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10 MINS FOR STLT GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4225 8521 3979 8514 4033 9412 4224 9424
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