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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/31/08 1135Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1115Z		DS
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LOCATION...NE OKLAHOMA...S CENTRAL/SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...DDC...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...RAPIDLY DVLPG CELLS..SEVERAL MERGERS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TSTORMS OVER S KS HAVE BEEN RAPIDLY DVLPG
SINCE ABOUT 0930Z NOW FORMING A SMALL CLUSTER WITHIN MOISTURE PLUME THAT
STRETCHES BACK NWWD OFF THE TAIL END OF THE MOISTURE ASSCD WITH THE FRNT
OVER THE MIDWEST. IR IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW CLOUDS ALONG THIS AXIS OF
MOISTURE STRETCHING FROM NW AR ACROSS NE OK INTO THE CNVTN TO CENTRAL
KS. GOES SOUNDER HAS SHOWN A RAPID INCREASE IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE OVER
NE OK/SE AND S CENTRAL KS IN THE PAST 2-3 HRS WITH VALUES APPROACHING
2". GPS PW VALUES ARE NOT QUITE AS HIGH AT 1.7-1.9" BUT DWPTS IN THE
HIGH 60S IN THE DISCUSSION AREA PROVIDE SFC BASED EVIDENCE THAT THERE IS
PLENTY OF MOISTURE POOLED THERE. ALONG WITH THIS PLENTY OF INSTABILITY
FOR CONTINUED DVLPMT OF STORMS AS LI'S OF GREATER THAN -5 EXIST. THOUGH
AMOUNT OF SHEAR/CAPE POINT MORE TO SVR EVENT..THE MERGERS WHICH HAVE
BEEN OCCURRING ALONG WITH SOMEWHAT SLOW MOVMEMENT OF CERTAIN CELLS IS A
CONCERN..ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED THERE
IN THE PAST WEEK. IR SHOWS COLDEST TOPS CURRENTLY AT -70C OVER PARTS
OF SEDGWICK/BUTLER/SUMNER/COWLEY COUNTIES WITH SOMEWHAT WARMER TOPS
EXTENDING E AND NW OF THOSE STRONGEST CELLS. AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES
INDICATE RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 1.5"/HR WITH THESE CELLS BUT THAT DOES
NOT ACCOUNT FOR ANY MERGERS WHICH MAY OCCUR THAT COULD EASILY PRODUCE
2"/HR OR SLIGHTLY GREATER RAINFALL RATES. FOR THE MOST PART THOUGH..CELLS
APPEAR TO BE MOVING ENOUGH TO KEEP AMOUNTS FROM REACHING CURRENT FFG. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3852 9700 3754 9489 3677 9627 3851 9953
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