ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/26/08 2035Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  2015Z  CK
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LOCATION...TEXAS PANHANDLE...NW/W OKLAHOMA...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CURRENT AREAS OF CNVTN...PSBL MCS DEVELOPMENT THIS EVE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...W TX/TX PANHANDLE...SW-NE BAND OF CU/TCU
STREETS EXTEND ACRS W TX AND FEED INTO AREA OF DEVELOPING TSTMS IN THE
TX PANHANDLE. HVYST STMS ARE NW OF CDS. THESE BANDS OF CU AND TSTMS
ARE COLOCATED WITH AXIS OF INCRG INSTABILITY..LOWER THAN -10C..AND
IS ALSO LOCATED ALONG WRN PORTIONS OF PLUME OF HIGH PWS...1.5"PLUS.
WOULD EXPECT CNVTN TO CONTINUE TO INCR WITH SUBTLE SHORT WAVE APPCHG FM
THE W. SEE GRAPHIC ON WEB. WOULD EXPECT RAINFALL RATES TO INCR DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTN AND EVE..WITH MERGERS OCCURRING AS CNVTN EXPANDS
AND ADDITIONAL CELLS DEVELOP TO THE SW AND MOVE NEWD. THE CONCERN FOR
THE EVE IS THAT THIS AREA OF CNVTN WILL FORM INTO MCS AND EXPAND ACRS
W OK..AND PERHAPS FURTHER NEWD INTO SRN KS.
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KS..SEVERAL AREAS OF CVTN ATTM. AREA OVER SE KS PERSISTS..WITH
REDEVELOPMENT OF CELLS. FURTHER W..SOMEWHAT SMALLER AREA OF TSTMS HAS
STEADILY INTENSIFIED S OF ICT..WITH IR AND VIS IMAGERY SHOWING NEWER CELLS
FORMING ON WRN EDGE. THIRD AREA OF MORE SCT CNVTN HAS BEEN DEVELOPING
ACRS AN AREA FM GCK TO NE OF GBD. BOTH PW AND LI SOUNDER IMAGERY HAS
BEEN SHOWING A STEADY SURGE N OF INSTABILITY AND INCRG PW'S. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS SFC CONVERGENCE MAX OVER CENTRAL/S CENTRAL KS. ALSO OF
CONCERN IS THE SHORT WAVE TO THE W..MENTIONED IN FIRST PARA..WHICH WILL
HELP FURTHER ENHANCE CNVTN THIS EVE. ALL OF THESE FACTORS POINT TWD THE
POTENTIAL FOR A MULTIPLE MCS SITUATION FOR THIS EVE/TONIGHT..WITH PSBL
CONSOLIDATION INTO ONE COMPLEX. AS MENTIONED ABOVE..OF PARTICULAR CONCERN
IS THAT THE NEWER AREAS OF CNVTN OVER KS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP..AND
THAT THE TSTMS OR TSTM OUTFLOW NOW OVER THE TX PANHANDLE/W OK BORDER AREA
WILL EXPAND AND SURGE NEWD ACRS THE S CENTRAL KS BORDER AND ENHANCE/MERGE
WITH THE STMS OVER KS.
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SEE ANNOTATED GRAPHIC AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX 10 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3898 9807 3746 9489 3696 9476 3678 9772 3497 9961 3438
10100 3767 10078 3869 10010
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