ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/23/08 1353Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1345Z		DS
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LOCATION...N KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...HVY RAINS OVER N KS AND PARTS OF NE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VIGOROUS S/WV SEEN LIFTING NWD IN WV
IMAGERY TRIGGERED CNVTN OVER THE WRN HALF OF N KS THIS MORNING..SOME OF
WHICH HAS MOVED NWD INTO NE. GOES STLT WINDS INDICATE DIFFLUENT FLOW
ALOFT ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE S/WV WITH AN UPPER LVL JET MAX ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE. IR/VIS IMAGERY ALONG WITH RADAR SHOW THAT THE STORMS IN N KS
ARE REMAINING OVER MOST OF THE SAME AREAS DUE TO MOIST SRLY FLOW ACROSS
A W-E ORIENTED STRNY FRNT THAT IS ACROSS THE STATE. THIS IS ALLOWING
FOR NEW CELLS TO CONTINUE TO FILL IN AS OLD CELLS MOVE NWD INTO NE.
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12Z PW ANALYSIS/GOES SOUNDER INDICATE 1-1.2” PW VALUES PRESENT OVER
CENTRAL/E KS BECOMING SLIGHTLY LOWER ENTERING NE. OF NOTE IS THE 1.38
PW VALUE UPSTREAM THOUGH AT OUN THIS MORNING AS GOES SOUNDER HAS SHOWN
INCREASING PW VALUES FROM N CENTRAL OK INTO S KS AS THE LOW LVL JET HAS
BECOME BETTER ALIGNED FROM S-N IN PAST FEW HRS. INCREASING INSTABILITY
JUST S OF THE STNRY FRNT IN KS WILL BE A GROWING CONCERN AS DIURNAL
HEATING CONTINUES. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS POINTS TO W CENTRAL KS AS HAVING
THE BEST SFC MOISTURE CNVG..JUST E OF SFC LOW AND ALSO THE CENTER OF
THE THETA-E AXIS RISES UP INTO W KS/SW NE. MOST RECENT VIS SHOWS CU
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AROUND DDC.
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LATEST IR SHOWS ONE STRONGER CLUSTER OF CELLS OVER
LINCOLN/MITCHELL/OSBOURNE/CLOUD/REPUBLIC COUNTIES IN N KS AND ANOTHER
SW/NE ORIENTED GROUPING OF MORE INDIVIDUALIZED CELLS FROM NW KS INTO
CENTRAL NE..THOUGH OTHER CELLS ARE FORMING JUST N OF THE STNRY BNDRY AND
BEGINNING TO FILL IN BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS. WITH SEVERAL OVERSHOOTING
TOPS IN VIS AND THE REGENERATING/TRAINING OCCURRING EXPECT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2-3” ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS WHERE CELLS TRACK
THE MOST. AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES PAST 3 HRS ENDING 1315Z SHOWED A MAX OF
2.3-2.8” OVER MITCHELL COUNTY/KS. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN 10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4191 9997 4137 9639 3873 9692 3907 10162
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