ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/22/08 2050Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2040Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...COLORADO...
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ATTN WFOS...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTION BREAKING OUT IN WESTERN KANSAS AND NEBRASKA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN IS BREAKING OUT A BIT EAST OF
WHERE IT DID YDAY AS MASSIVE UPR LOW WOBBLES A LITTLE TO THE WEST AND
BECOMES MORE ELONGATED IN E/W DIRECTION. MOIST CONVEYOR BELT PROVIDING
STEADY SUPPLY OF MOISTURE INTO CNVTV LN AS PER LATEST 8H PROFILER DATA
(30 KTS INFLOW) IN TANDEM WITH BULLSEYE OF SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
OVER NW KS. UPR DIFFLUENCE DOES NOT APR TO BE A STG AS YDAY BASED ON
INITIAL ANVIL EXPANSION BUT SHOULD STILL AID IN CNVTV DEVELOPMENT/HEAVY
RAINFALL. LATEST STLT IMAGERY SHOWS 2 BKN LINES HAVE DEVELOPED ACRS
WRN KS AND THEY APPEAR TO BE MERGING TOGETHER AT THE SOUTHERN END INVOF
FINNEY COUNTY. AS OUTFLOWS DEVELOP EXPECT ADL MERGING TO OCR AND AN MCS
TO DEVELOP. GIVEN CURRENT CLD TOP TEMPS AND DYNAMICS..MAX ESTIMATED HRLY
RAINFALL IN THE 2.0 TO 2.5" RANGE.
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WITH STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER ACRS NE EXPECT THAT SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT
CNVTN AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL GRDLY SLIDE TO THE EAST ALG FNTL BNDRY
ACRS THE NRN TIER OF COUNTIES IN KS AND SRN TIER IN NE. FF THREAT WILL
BE ESPECIALLY ELEVATED OVER AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL LAST
NIGHT/THIS MRNG.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4110 10270 4102 9742 3854 9739 3857 10261
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