ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/22/08 1500Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:1445Z  JS
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LOCATION...NW TO W CENT MISSOURI/NE KANSAS/SE NEBRASKA
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ATTN WFOS...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...FLARE UP OF ACTIVITY OVER NORTHEAST KS IN PAST HOUR IS ADDING
TO EXCESSIVE RAIN TOTALS IN MAJOR RAINFALL EVENT.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A REGENERATION
OF COLDER CLOUD TOPS OVER NORTHEASTERN KS WHICH HAS PUSHED SATELLITE
ESTIMATED STORM TOTALS OVER 5" FOR AREA CENTERED AROUND JACKSON
COUNTY. WHILE THE OVERALL CLOUD TOP SHIELD STRETCHING FROM SE NEB TO
W CENT MO HAS WARMED SOMEWHAT IN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS, POCKETS OF
INTENSE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONGER CELLS CONTINUE TO HEIGHTEN
HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT NOT ONLY FOR SAME REGION OF NORTHEASTERN KANSAS BUT
ALSO EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI WHERE AUTOMATED
SATELLITE ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 2" OR HIGHER FOR SPOTS ALONG
AXIS EXTENDING FROM PLATTE COUNTY SOUTHEASTWARD TO JOHNSON COUNTY. VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL LARGER CELLS OVER W CENT MO MOVING SLOWLY OFF TO THE
EAST WITH SOME TRAINING AND REDEVELOPMENT ON THE SW END OF THE ACTIVITY
OCCURRING AROUND JACKSON/LAFAYETTE/JOHNSON COUNTIES. THE TOUGHEST CALL
AT THE MOMENT IS TO DETERMINE WHEN THE FOCUS FOR THE CURRENT ACTIVITY
ACROSS SE NEB/NE KS/W MO WILL DIMINISH. CURRENT VISIBLE LOOP STILL SHOWS
GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOW IN LOW CLOUD DECK STREAMING TO THE NNE FROM S
CENT TX INTO E KS. AT THE SAME TIME, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY POINTS TOWARD
MID/UPPER FLOW OVER W TX/E NM/E CO BEGINNING TO GO NEGATIVE TILT WHICH
SHOULD EVENTUALLY SHIFT THE FOCUS FARTHER TO THE WEST. BASED ON THIS CAN
ONLY SPECULATE THAT THE CURRENT CONVECTION WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN DURING
THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
RAIN WHICH HAS ALREADY FALLEN, EXPECT SOME ADDITIONAL PROBLEMS TO OCCUR
BEFORE THE WEAKENING REALLY TAKES PLACE.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4072 9652 3877 9312 3866 9585 4058 9751
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