ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
SDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/22/08 0827Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11/12 0815Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...SOUTH DAKOTA...MONTANA...WYOMING...
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ATTN WFOS...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...TFX...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE AND SHORT WAVE DESTABILZERS FOR SIGNIFICANT
RAINS TO CAUSE FLOODING NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPPER LOW OVER S UT CONTINUES TO EVOLVE
AND DEEPEN AS NOW 05Z SATELLITE WINDS SHOWED A 140-160KT JET FROM SW
OREGON TO SE CA.  SPOKES OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY ON EAST SIDE OF TROUGH
HAVE CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AND SEVERAL FROM FROM S WY INTO MONTANA WERE
HELPING TO FURTHER ORGANIZE HVY PRECIPITATION SURGES FOR WY AND MONTANA.
LONG FETCH OF PW MOISTURE OR THE MOISTURE PLUME WAS ORGANIZING AR TO
NE KS AND BEING TRANSPORTED ON 850MB WINDS PARALLEL THE BEST MOISTURE
INTO NEBRASKA...SD INTO MONTANA.  EXPECT SHORT WAVES TO PROVIDE THE
LIFT ALONG WITH MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN TO CONTINUE STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE
BUT PERSISTANT RAINS THAT CAN ALONG WITH SNOW MELT HEIGHTEN AN ALREADY
WIDENING FF POTENTIAL AREA.  IT WAS NOTEABLE THAT A HVY RAIN (24-48 HR)
EVENT WITH THIS TYPE OF PATTERN OCCURRED MOST RECENTLY ON MAY 7, 2005
AND MAY 11, 1980 IN N CENTRAL WY/S CENTRAL MT.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
AS THIS EVENT WILL PROBABLY LINGER FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 30-48HRS...SEE
GRAPHICAL SATELLITE ANALYSIS ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4764 10982 4387 10404 4310 10785 4518 11152
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