ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/22/08 0501Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11/12 0445Z   KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...EXT W SOUTH DAKOTA...MONTANA...WYOMING...
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ATTN WFOS...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...STORMS STILL GOING SE/E CENTRAL WY AND NOT INHIBITING TOO MUCH
MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO MONTANA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEVERAL SHORT WAVES LIFTING NORTH/NW
AHEAD OF MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST.  SOUTHERN MOST ONE LIFTING
NORTH THRU NE CO...ONE JUST TO THE NORTH LIFTING INTO
S WYOMING. ANOTHER LIFTING NORTH THRU CENTRAL WYOMING AND TAIL END OF
IT WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STAYING IN PLACE TO KEEP CONVECTION ACTIVE
NW LARAMIE TO NIOBRARA COUNTY...ALTHOUGH A LITTLE LESS ACTIVE THAN A
FEW HRS AGO...BUT COULD STAY IN PLACE WITH ADDITIONAL MODERATE RAIN
NEXT FEW HRS...SO DON'T THINK FF THREAT ENDED THERE FOR THE NIGHT.
WITH ALL THIS MOISTURE...TRANSPORT HAS BEEN DISTURBED ENOUGH SO THAT
BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT HAS HAD TO SHIFT EAST INTO THE PLAINS AND NOW WAS
DIVERTING AROUND THE STORMS INTO SE TO S CENTRAL MONTANA.  THOUGH MOISTURE
TRANSPORT NOT QUITE AS GOOD HERE...SOIL CONDITIONS AND  CONSOLIDATION
OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS COULD FURTHER INCREASE FLOOD THREAT FOR S CENTRAL
TO CENTRAL MONTANA COUNTIES AS THE NIGHT GOES ON AND CERTAINLY TOWARD
12Z WHEN MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS BEST FROM NE KS THRU W SD INTO MONTANA.
UNFORTUNATELY CLOUD TOPS FROM BLOW OFF OF CONVECTION FURTHER SOUTH...NOT
ALLOWING FOR CREDIBLE GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE RAINFALL ESTIMATES IN
MONTANA...BUT THERE WAS A MICROWAVE PASS OVER MONTANA FROM SSMI NEAR
0130Z THAT WAS GIVING INSTANTANEOUS RAIN RATES OF 0.55"/HR IN STILLWATER
COUNTY THEN.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4696 10494 4390 10292 4293 10521 4580 10759
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