ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/16/08 0210Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0145Z		DS
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LOCATION...SW TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...CRP...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING CELLS ON NRN END OF MCS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS A NEARLY CLOSED OFF UPPER
LOW CONTINUING TO DROP SWD THROUGH WRN NM WITH MOISTURE PLUME STRETCHING
ACROSS NRN MX/W TX. THIS UPPER LOW HAS PULLED A S/WV NWD IN THE FLOW
ACROSS MX WHICH HAS HELPED TO SPARK CNVTN NR AND S OF KDRT/KDLF..BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST HR INTO AN MCS. GOES STLT WINDS INDICATE A
NEARLY 100KT JET MAX STRETCHING FROM NE OF KDRT TO SW AR WITH THE RIGHT
ENT REGION INVOF KDLF/KUVA/KCOT. SFC WINDS ACROSS E TX ARE FROM THE NNE
AND THEN TURN ALMOST DUE ERLY INTO THE NRN END OF THE MCS AS THE FLOW
REACHES A STNRY BNDRY. THOUGH FFG IS RELATIVELY HIGH OVER SRN TX..SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THESE CELLS AS THEY PROGESS EWD ACROSS MAVERICK/KINNEY/PARTS
OF VAL VERDE AND E OF THERE..WILL CAUSE RAINFALL TO ACCUMULATE FAIRLY
QUICKLY. AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES SHOW RAINFALL RATES UP TO 1.5"/HR
HAVE OCCURRED OVER MX THUS FAR WITH MOST RECENT 1 HR AMOUNTS UP TO 1.2"
HAVING OCCURRED W OF SRN MAVERICK COUNTY. ADDTL MERGERS WHICH HAVE BEEN
SHOWN TO OCCUR ON RADAR BENEATH THE CLOUD SHIELD ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE
INTO COUNTIES IN S TX WHICH WILL ONLY SERVE TO INCREASE RATES. PW VALUES
OF 1.25" WERE SHOWN TO BE PRESENT IN 00Z RAOBS WITH A TONGUE OF LOW LVL
MOISTURE EXTENDING NWWD FROM BRO WHICH SHOULD ADD A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE
TO CELLS AS THEY MAKE THEIR WAY FURTHER INTO S TX. MOST RECENT IR IMAGE
HAS SHOWN A NWD CONTRACTION OF THE MCS WITH THE COLDEST TOPS AT -70C
NOW ASSCD WITH THE CELLS READY TO CROSS INTO SRN MAVERICK. WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3029 10148 2996 9960 2775 9921 2727 10148
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