ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MSZ000-LAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/14/08 2328Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  2315Z   CK
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LOCATION...SE/S LOUISIANA...SW/S MISSISSIPPI
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ATTN WFOS...JAN...LIX...LCH...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...
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EVENT...COLD TOP TSTMS CONTINUE TO INTENSITY/MERGE..HVY RAINFALL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SINCE PREVIOUS SPENES..LEADING
EDGE OF HVY TSTMS OVER LA HAS SPREAD EWD TO JUST TO THE N OF
LAKE PONTCHARTAIN. OVERSHOOTING TOPS ARE EVIDENT OVER TANGIPAHOA AND
LIVINGSTON PARISHES. BACK EDGE OF HVY CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER IBERVILLE
PARISH. HOWEVER.. VIS AND IR IMAGERY ARE SHOWING NEW CU/TCU AND SOME
LOW TOP TSTMS DEVELOPING OVER ST MARTIN AND VERMILLION PARISHES. VIS
ANIMATION.. INDICATES THAT THESE NEWER CELLS ARE FEEDING NEWD AND WILL
LIKELY MERGE WITH BACK EDGE OF COLDER CONVECTION/MCS. THUS.. WOULD EXPECT
SWATH OF HVY RAIN TO AFFECT THE AREA FM VCNTY OF ARA TO S MS/LA BORDER
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS. BASED ON PREVIOUS ESTIMATES AND CURRENT
STLT TRENDS..WOULD ESTIMATE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS BTWN 2-3" OF RAIN FOR SOME
LOCATIONS N AND W OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN..AS WELL AS OVER THE LAKE AS WELL.
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AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES FOR THE 3 HR PERIOD ENDING 23Z INDICATE 2-3.6"
TOTALS FM ST LANDRY TO TANGIPAHOA PARISHES..WITH THE HEAVIEST INVOF
BTR.. WHICH CORRESPONDS WELL WITH OBS FM BTR.   OTHER HEAVY ESTIMATES
OF 2"PLUS WERE INDICATED OVER SW MS COUNTIES. IN THE PAST HR..CLOUD TOPS
OVER MS HAVE WARMED..INDICATING A DECR IN RATES THERE.
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SEE ESTIMATE GRAPHIC AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3119 9076 3112 8927 3017 8965 3001 9224
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