ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/14/08 1450Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1432Z     CW
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LOCATION...LOUISIANA...S ARKANSAS...E TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...VERY HVY RAINS FROM MCS AND CELL TRAINING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LASTEST VIS IMAGERY SHOW TWO AREAS OF
CONCERN FOR HVY RAINS..ONE ASSOICATED WITH CORE OF MCS AND THE SECOND
WITH TRAINING OF CONVECTIVE CELLS FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST.
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CELLS ARE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OVER SE TX AND ARE SEEN MOVING IN A LINEAR
PATTERN NEWD LEADING TO CELL TRAINING.  STLT RAINFALL ESTIMATES INVOF OF
FAYETTE COUNTY IN SE TX SUGGEST AROUND 1.5" MAY HAVE FALLEN IN LAST HR.
THESE CELLS ARE MOVING SLOWLY AND ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1-2" OF RAIN IN
THE NEXT 1-2 HRS IS POSSIBLE INVOF WASHINGTON..BURLESON.. BRAZOS..GRIMES
COUNTIES.
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SECOND AREA OF HVY RAINFALL IS ASSOCIATED WITH CORE OF MCS OVER EXTREME
NE TX. CLOUD TOP TEMPS HAVE COOLED TO NEAR -70C INDICATING THAT THE CORE
OF THE MCS HAS INTENSIFIED AS IT HAS MOVED NEAR THE MAX REGION OF UPPER
LVL DIVERGENCE MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS SPENES MESSAGE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 1-2" WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE WITH CELL MERGERS.  SOME BACKBUILDING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLANK OF THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPS (BELOW -63C) HAS BEEN NOTED IN LAST
1-2 HRS RESULTING IN AMOUNTS CLOSER TO 2" IN A 1-2 HR PERIOD INVOF OF
HENDERSON AND SMITH COUNTIES IN NE TX.  EXPECTING HVY RAINS WITH CORE
OF MCS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE ENE ACROSS S AR/N LA OVER NEXT FEW HRS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3362 9613 3356 9188 3195 9147 2952 9717
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