ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/14/08 1130Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:1115Z  JS
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LOCATION...N LOUISIANA/S ARKANSAS/S CENT TO NE TEXAS
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ATTN WFOS...LZK...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...NEWER MCS/MCV OVER CENT TX NOW APPROACHING TRAILING END OF OLDER
MCS/MCV CENTERED OVER NE TX/SW AR/NW LA.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VERY CONCERNED ABOUT SITUATION SETTING UP
AGAIN OVER NE TX INTO NW LA WHERE TRAILING END OF COMPLEX NOW APPEARS TO
BE HANGING UP WHILE LARGE MCS APPROACHES FROM CENT TX. HAVE NOTED NEARLY
1" IN JUST THE PAST HOUR AT SHREVEPORT(KSHV) WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR QUITE
A BIT MORE RAIN DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS CENTERED AROUND SHREVEPORT
INCLUDING PANOLA COUNTY OF NE TX AS WELL AS AREAS EAST OF SHREVEPORT
INTO N CENT LA. IR IMAGERY THROUGH 1115Z SHOWS CLOUD TOPS ENHANCING FROM
PANOLA COUNTY TX TO BIENVILLE PARISH IN LA AS SATELLITE BASED ESTIMATED
RATES CLIMB TO AT LEAST 2"/HR IF NOT LOCALLY HIGHER. FARTHER TO THE SW
AREA OF COLD TOPS EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGE MCS IS MOVING RATHER STEADILY
TO THE ENE LIMITING ESTIMATED RAINFALL MAINLY TO THE 1-2" RANGE WITH
ISOLATED GREATER THAN 2" POSSIBLE. OF COURSE SOME OF THIS RAIN IS FALLING
ON AREAS WHICH RECEIVED CONVECTION OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SOMEWHAT WEAKER
CELLS BACK ON THE SW END OF THE COMPLEX AROUND BANDERA/KERR/GILLESPIE
COUNTIES WITH RATES ESTIMATED AROUND 1.0"-1.2"/HR ARE ALSO TRAINING OVER
SPOTS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE MAIN PORTION OF THE COMPLEX.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3349 9230 3214 9231 2923 9941 3070 9960 3271 9607
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