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LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/14/08 0022Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0015Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...LOUISIANA...EXT SW ARKANSAS...NE TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LZK...SHV...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MOSTLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CELLS...BUT ONE CELL MOVING SLOWLY
IN BEST MOISTURE CENTERED NE TX...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...PW MOISTURE PLUME ALIGNED SE THRU
NE TX INTO SW AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS.  BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG THIS
PLUME ON 85H WINDS INTO SLOW MOVING COLD TOP MOVING ACROSS GREGG...
N RUSK...S UPSHUR AND ABOUT TO MERGE WITH SMALL INCREASING/COOLING TOPS
PANOLA INTO HARRISON COUNTY.  PWS NEARLY 2.0" AND WITH GOOD MOISTURE
TRANSPORT  AND SLOW MOVEMENT CAN EASILY RESULT IN 1-2 INCHES IN A SHORT
TIME.   CELL MERGERS CAN ALSO RESULT IN ISOLATED 2-3 INCHES PER HR.
CONCERN FOR THIS N PANOLA INTO HARRISON COUNTY TX AND POSSIBLY SPILLING
INTO NW LA PARISHES NEXT FEW HRS.  EXT SW AR COUNTIES WILL BE ON THE
NORTHERN FRINGES OF THIS ACTIVITY.  GUIDANCE VALUES RATHER HIGH...BUT
ISOLATED URBAN TYPE FF COULD OCCUR IN THE PATH OF THIS SLOW MOVING COLD
TOP.  MOISTURE PLUME NOT MOVING MUCH EAST AND WILL BE KIND OF ALIGNING
MORE SW TO NE FROM THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO ARKANSAS...SO THIS
WILL BE A BIG PLAYER IN WIDER FF SCENARIO COMING UP FOR TONIGHT AND WED.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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HYDROESTIMATES COULD BE LOW FOR THE 3HR PERIOD ENDING 2345Z AT 1.5"
OVER GREGG COUNTY...BUT INSTANTANEOUS RATES UP TO 1.5"/HR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3396 9238 3248 9289 3210 9474 3355 9459
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