ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
GAZ000-ALZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/11/08 1130Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1115Z  HANNA
.
LOCATION...GEORGIA...ALABAMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
.
EVENT...SHORT TERM CONCERNS FOR HEAVY RAIN WITH TRAINING CONVECTION
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RAPIDLY MOVING LINEAR MCS WITH EMBEDDED
MCV HAS PUSHED SE INTO PORTIONS OF E GA.  IN IT'S WAKE A REMNANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS BECOME THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION FROM ABOUT 30
MILES SE OF EET AND THEN EXTENDING SE TOWARDS DODGE AND WILCOX COUNTY.
LATEST OBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
UPSTREAM OF ONGOING CONVECTION AND THIS IS COLLOCATED IN A RIBBON OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY PER GOES SOUNDER (CAPES AOA 1500 J/KG AND LI'S < -5).
HAVE NOTED THE TENDENCY FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUOUSLY REGENERATE NEAR
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MAX AND TRAIN DOWNSTREAM ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF
AFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.
.
BEST HEAVY RAIN SATELLITE SIGNATURE CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM SUMTER COUNTY
EAST TO WHEELER COUNTY.  SEVERAL OVERSHOOTING TOPS WERE EVIDENT ALONG
THIS AXIS WITH MERGING CONVECTIVE CELLS LIKELY CONTRIBUTING TO RAINFALL
RATES OF 1-2"/HR.  EARLIER REPORTS OUT OF LSF SHOWED 3HR RAINFALL REPORTS
IN EXCESS OF 3.0" AND BELIEVE SIMILAR TOTALS COULD BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS OVER LOCALIZED AREAS IN DISCUSSION AREA.  PROFILER/VWPS
SHOW THAT 50-60KT SWRLY 85H LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO OVERRIDE REMNANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR CONVECTIVE REGENERATION
UPSTREAM OF ONGOING ACTIVITY WITH THE POSSIBLE THREAT FOR TRAINING OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  WOULD PLACE BEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER THAT TIME PERIOD TO BE ROUGHLY ALONG AN AXIS FROM AUO TO EZM.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3318 8634 3303 8559 3273 8456 3268 8425 3247 8310 3208
8239 3147 8270 3135 8348 3208 8507 3262 8631
.
NNNN