ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MNZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/10/08 1949Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1930Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...S MINNESOTA...IOWA...E NEBRASKA...E SOUTH DAKOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...CURRENT BAROCLINIC LEAF SIGNATURE MOSTLY CENTERED IA SETTING
THE STAGE FOR HVY RAIN EVENT THERE NEXT 24HRS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE HIGHLIGHTS AT THE MOMENT
HAD VIGOROUS...STILL DEEPENING (BUT DEEPENING IS SLOWING) UPPER LOW
MOVING THRU W NEBRASKA.  OUT AHEAD VARIOUS SHORT WAVES ORGANIZING WITH
BEST BAROCLINIC LEAF CLOUD SIGNATURE FROM E NEBRASKA THRU C TO N IA.
THIS SETTING THE STAGE...ESPECIALLY IN IA FOR HVY RAIN EVENT AS WELL
DEFINED PW MOISTURE PLUME AS PER 12Z RADIOSONDE AND CURRENT GOES SOUNDER
AND GPS PW DATA NOW ALIGNED FROM EASTERN TEXAS NORTHWARD THRU
E OK...E KS INTO E NEBRASKA AND W IA AND AT THE SAME TIME LOW LEVEL
FLOW FOLLOWING PRETTY CLOSE TO THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF MOISTURE FOR
EXCELLENT MOISTURE TRANSPORT.   REMEMBER THAT GOOD TO EXCELLENT MOISTURE
TRANSPORT WILL REPLENISH THE HEAVY RAIN THAT IS CURRENT FALLING...ACTUALLY
ACTING AS MOISTURE PIPELINE UNTIL THE UPPER LEVEL VORT OR LOW PASSES THE
AREA.  SUCH GOOD FORCING IS A GIVEN HERE WITH WESTERN NEBRASKA UPPER LOW
AND VORTS OUT AHEAD.   MOISTURE ALMOST AS GOOD BECAUSE MORNING ANOMALY
PW PRODUCT WAS ALREADY 158 PERCENT OF NORMAL IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
SHOULD ONLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS MOVES OVER THE AREA
CENTERED ON IA.
IN THE SHORT TERM...SOME BREATHING ROOM...BUT NOT FOR LONG AS INDIVIDUAL
CELLS TRAINING SW TO NE ACROSS BAROCLINIC LEAF E NEBRASKA THRU W CENTRAL
TO C/N CENTRAL IA AND BEGINNING TO EXTEND INTO INTERIOR
NE IA.  THIS ALL SETTING THE STAGE FOR AREAS OF FF CONCERN CENTERED
ON IOWA CLOSE TO BAROCLINIC LEAF BOUNDARY.  NESDIS SATELLITE ESTIMATES
FOR 3HRS ENDING 19Z SEEING NO MORE THAN ONE INCH PER 3HRS AND 1.5"-1.9"
PER 6HRS E NEBRASKA/W IA.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND SEND MESSAGES
REGULARLY AS THIS STORM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP.   SEE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS
AND 3HR HYDROESTIMATOR SATELLITE ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL ON HOME PAGE AT
ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4368 9219 4191 9294 4140 9614 4171 9717 4274 9713
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