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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/08/08 0216Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0202Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MARYLAND...VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA...
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ATTN WFOS...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...
ATTN RFCS...MARFC...SERFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN WITH COLD TOPPED CONVECTION OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND VIRGINIA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN HAS BLOSSOMED OVER THE MOUNTAINS
IN ADVANCE OF MID LEVEL VORT OVER CENTRAL KY. PRECONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT
HAD LI/S ARND -5 OVER SW VA/NW NC AS PER GOES DERIVED SOUNDINGS. CLD
TOP TEMPS HAVE REACHED -64 INDICATING OVERSHOOTING TOPS. EXPANSIVE CI
SHIELD INDICATING SOME CONVTV FEEDBACK ENHANCING UPR LEVEL DIVERGENCE. LN
HAS FILLED IN AND IS NRLY SLD FROM NRN VA INTO WRN NC. LN IS SLOWLY
SHIFTING E BUT WITH RAPID CELL MVMNT TO THE NE PRETTY MUCH PARALLEL TO
THE LN THERE IS SOME TRAINING OCRG AND A FEW CELL MERGERS. THIS IS MAIN
CONCERN FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.
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MAX RAINFALL RATES ESTD AT ARND .75"/HLF HR WITH COLDER TOPS AND 3 HR
AMNTS APCHG 2". HEAVY RAINFALL BEING SUPPORTED BY SFC TD/S IN M60S AND
PW/S RUNNING NR 1.3". MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN ATTM ARE TWO CNVTV LINE
SEGMENTS. ONE IS FROM NEAR KFVX TO JUST W OF KGSO AND THE OTHER IN
CENTRAL VA FROM NEAR KEZF TO KCHO.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3908 7815 3844 7698 3606 7963 3653 8051
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