ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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KSZ000-COZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/08/08 2220Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2210Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...KANSAS...COLORADO...
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ATTN WFOS...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN THREAT WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IN WESTERN
KANSAS.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS....SEVERAL DISCREET CELLS NOTED IN STLT
IMAGERY/RADAR OVER W CENTRAL KS. THERE HAS ALRDY BEEN AT LEAST ONE MERGER
OF THESE CELLS WITH ADL MERGER ABOUT TO TAKE PLACE INVOF LANE COUNTY. CELL
MVMNT THUS FAR HAS PRECLUDED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL..ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS LIKELY UNDER THE CORES OF THESE CELLS. HOWEVER..AS
COMPLEX CONTS TO DEVELOP IN AREA OF STG SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
COUPLED WITH STG SUBTROPICAL JET (100+ KT) ALG THE SRN KS BORDER AND
MID LEVEL VORT TRACKING ACRS CENTRAL CO/NM BORDER EX[ECT THAT COMPLEX
WILL HAVE AN EXPANDING AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT MOVES INTO CENTRAL KS.
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GOES-12 RSO VIS IMAGERY SHOWS LOW LEVEL CU FIELD FEEDING INTO SRN FLANK
OF CNVTN. MOISTURE IN PLACE IS NOT TREMENDOUS (AROUND 1" AS PER GPS AND
GOES DERIVED PW/S) BUT SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN THE
OTHER FACTORS NOTED ABV. LOCALIZED RAIN RATES ESTD TO REACH UP TO 1"
PER HALF HR NEAR AREAS OF MERGING CELLS.
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GRAPHIC DEPICTION WILL BE SENT TO WEB PAGE IN ABOUT 15 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3983 10206 3983 9887 3771 9852 3773 10215
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