ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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INZ000-ILZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/08/08 1435Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1415Z		DS
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LOCATION...S INDIANA...S ILLINOIS...
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ATTN WFOS...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT...MOD TO HVY RAINFALL EMBEDDED WITHIN BAND
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS A MID TO UPPER VORT/TROF
QUICKLY CROSSING INTO THE TN VLY FRM MO/AR DURING THE LAST FEW HRS AND
LIFTING SLIGHTLY TO THE NE. STLT WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF UPPER LVL
DIFFLUENCE CURRENTLY OVER S IL JUST TO THE N OF THIS VORT. THOUGH CLOUD
TOPS ARE VERY WARM..A BAND OF HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EMBEDDED WITHIN PRECIP
SHIELD ON THE N SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW WITH LOW LVL MOISTURE BEING WRAPPED
INTO THE AREA FROM N MS/W TN/W KY. THIS BAND OF HEAVIER RAINS APPEARS TO
BE ALONG A STNRY FRNT DRAPED OVER THE SRN PARTS OF IN/IL WHERE FAIRLY
STRONG LOW LVL MOISTURE CNVG IS PRESENT PER OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. 12Z PW
ANALYSIS INDICATED GREATER THAN 1" PW'S OVER ALL OF THE SUBJECT AREA AND
THESE MAY HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR THE 1.25" RANGE DUE TO THE TSTORMS AND
ASSCD MOISTURE OVER TN/MS/AL. OBSERVED PRECIP AMOUNTS OVER THE PAST FEW
HRS HAVE BEEN MOSTLY 0.25"/HR WITH SOME UP TO 0.50"/HR SEEN OVER SRN IL
WITHIN THE BAND. STLT ESTIMATES ARE MUCH TOO LOW DUE TO THE VERY WARM
TOPS SEEN ON IR THOUGH VIS IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR BOTH SHOW A SECOND
BAND BEGINNING TO FORM OVER W KY/EXTREME S IL AS THE INITIAL BAND BEGINS
TO DIE OUT. THIS NEXT BAND SHOULD LIFT N/NEWD AS WELL AND LIKELY WILL
HAVE SIMILAR RAINFALL RATES. COUNTIES WITH LOW FFG IN SRN IL/SRN IN MAY
BE THREATENED BY THE STEADY MOD TO HVY RAINS WITHIN THE NEXT BAND OVER
THE NEXT 2-3 HRS. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3996 8596 3879 8549 3788 8944 3914 8995
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