ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/07/08 2302Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2245Z     CW
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...NW ARKANSAS...NE OKLAHOMA...SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...MORE HVY RAIN EXPECTING INTO THIS EVENING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WITH LT/MOD RAINS STILL FALLING ACROSS
PORTION OF NE OK/SE KS/S AND CENTRAL MO MORE RAIN WITH GREATER RAIN RATES
APPEAR TO BE LIKELY IN THE COMING HRS.  TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION PRODUCING
HVY RAINFALL AT THIS TIME ARE FROM A SW-NE LINEAR LINE ACROSS E TX/W
AR AND THE SECOND A CLUSTER OF STRONG STORMS WRAPPING AROUND THE E SIDE
OF THE UPPER LOW ACROSS CENTRAL OK.  THE CONVECTION ALONG THE E SIDE OF
THE UPPER LOW APPEARS HEADED FOR NE OK/SE KS FIRST THEN MAKING ITS WAY
FURTHER TO THE NE INTO SE MO.  BEST DIVERGENCE STILL REMAINS POSITIONED
OVER CENTRAL AND E OK AND NEWD INTO CENTRAL MO PER STLT WIND FIELDS.
THE LINE OF CONVECTION ACROSS E TX AND W AR HAS BEEN MOVING NNEWD OVER
THE PAST SEVERAL HRS AND THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THIS LINE IS ABOUT TO
MOVE INTO S/CENTRAL MO WITHIN THE NEXT HR.

A POOL OF HIGHER SFC DEW POINTS (66F) IS SEEN LOCATED OVER EXTREME SE OK
FROM 22Z ANALYSIS ALONG WITH 1.5-1.6" PW VALUES PER LATEST GOES STLT AND
GPS DATA. COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA ARE SEEN TO
BE RELATIVELY WARM (AROUND -55C ON AVERAGE)..HOWEVER WITH OVERSHOOTING
TOPS SEEN IN VIS..SUFFICIENT LLVL MOISTURE..AND GOOD UPPER LVL DIVERGENCE
SOME PLACES IN NE OK/SE KS/S AND CENTRAL MO MAY SEE RAIN RATES OF UP TO
1.0-1.5"/HR (PARTICULARLY OVER NE OK/SE KS AS CELL MERGERS ARE LIKELY
WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION) THIS EVENING FROM EITHER OR BOTH AREAS
OF CONVECTION.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR STLT GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10-15 MINS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3897 9112 3698 9096 3587 9561 3760 9667
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