ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/07/08 0528Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 THRU 0515Z GG
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LOCATION...W/C KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...ICT...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...LINEAR REDEVELOPMENT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR LOOP SHOWS A NEW LINE OF RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING CONVECTION FROM GREELY TO GOVE TO ELLIS COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KS.
VWP AT KDDC SHOWS VERY STRONG (50KT PLUS) 850 FLOW THAT RECENTLY SHIFTED
BACK TO SELY WITH 10-15KTS AT THE SFC AS WELL...ISENTROPICALLY LIFTING
OVER A BOUNDARY SENT OUT FROM THE PRIOR MCS (ORIENTATION MATCHES NEARLY
PERFECTLY WITH LINE OF HVY RAINFALL FROM THE EARLIER MCS JUST ONE
COUNTY NORTH).  TOPS ARE REACHING -60C AND WITH SFC TD IN THE MID 50S
AND PWS RANGING FROM .8 TO 1.2" WEST TO EAST...SATELLITE ESTIMATIONS
OF 1.0"-1.5"/HR CAN BE EXPECTED DEPENDING ON MST FLUX/AVAILABLE PWS.
ORIENTATION OF THE LINE IS NEARLY PARALLEL TO CELL MOTION ATTM AND SHOULD
CONTINUE ALONG THE TOP OF THE RIDGING SEEN IN WV. THIS IS PARTICULARLY
PROBLEMATIC AS CELLS REMAIN STATIONARY OR SLIDE EAST ALONG THE LINE...THE
FFG VALUES DECREASE INTO CENTRAL KS...3HR TOTALS COULD BE ECLIPSED
WITHIN ONE HOUR IN SOME SPOTS IF LINE CONTINUES EAST INTO RUSSEL AND
ELLSWORTH. TO MAKE THE SITUATION WORSE...ADDITIONAL SFC CONVERGENCE COULD
INCREASE AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH OUT OF THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES IN KS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3904 9799 3812 9756 3825 10172 3894 10165
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