ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/07/08 0024Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2345Z    CW
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LOCATION...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CLOUD TOP COOLING AND EXPANSION SEEN ALONG CONVECTIVE LINES
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RECENT TRENDS IN IR IMAGERY INDICATE BOTH
QUASI-LINEAR CLUSTERS OF TSTMS LOCATED IN CENTRAL TO EASTERN NE AND WEST
TO CENTRAL KS ARE BEGINNING TO COOL AND EXPAND ALONG THEIR MINOR AXISES.
THE NORTHERN CLUSTER IN NE HAS CLOUD TOP TEMPS AROUND -63C SUGGESTING
THROUGH MANUAL STLT RAINFALL RATE TECHNIQUE THAT RATES MAY BE INCREASING
TO 0.9-1.0"/HR WITH POTENTIALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE SW EDGE..WHERE
CELL MERGERS ARE BEGINNING TO OCCUR NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN SW NE AND
NW KS BASED ON VIS IMAGERY.  HVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG
THIS LINE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 1-3 ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NE.
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WITH REGARDS TO THE SOUTHERN LINE OF CONVECTION STRETCHED ACROSS WESTERN
TO CENTRAL KS..CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED TO -61C AND CELL MERGERS APPEAR TO
BE IMMINENT IN THE NEXT 15-30 MINS ALONG THE SW FLANK PER VIS IMAGERY.
RAINFALL RATES CAN BE EXPECTED UP TO 1.0"/HR FROM THIS CLUSTER OF TSTMS.
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GOES SOUNDER IMAGERY SUGGESTS BEST LLVL MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO BE FROM THE
S ACROSS OK AND E KS WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.2-1.3".  CURRENT THINKING
IS THE SOUTHERN CLUSTER OF STORM IN KS MAY STEAL MOST OF THE MOISTURE
AWAY FROM THE CLUSTER IN NE..ESSENTIALLY WEAKENING IT WHILE MAINTAINING
ITS INTENSITY OF INTENSIFYING FURTHER.  EXPECT HVY RAINFALL FROM THIS
CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVER CENTRAL THEN INTO E KS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS
AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD.  INDIVIDUAL CELLS THAT MOVE OVER ELLSWORTH
AND SALINE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KS SHOULD BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS FFG ARE
SHOWN TO BE RELATIVELY LOW COMPARED TO SURROUNDING COUNTIES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4232 9653 3970 9549 3800 9996 4028 10063
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