ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/06/08 0155Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0145Z  JS
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LOCATION...NW TEXAS/NW OKLAHOMA/SW TO S CENT KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...IR LOOP SHOWS EXPANDING COLD TOPS OVER KS AS MCS FORMS.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RADAR COMPOSITE LOOP NOW SHOWS THE
PRESENCE OF AN MCV WITHIN COMPLEX OVER SW KS AROUND GRAY/FORD COUNTIES. IR
LOOP HAS DECENT MCS SIGNATURE WITH AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATING
TECHNIQUES SHOWING STORM TOTALS INCREASING TO THE 1.5" TO NEAR 2.0"
RANGE FOR AREA APPROXIMATELY FROM FINNEY TO KIOWA/EDWARDS COUNTIES. HAVE
NOTED THE RECENT 1.18" IN 30 MINUTES OR SO FROM CELL PASSING ACROSS DODGE
CITY(KDDC) SO RATES OVER 2"/HR HAVE BEEN VERIFIED. GIVEN THE ORIENTATION
OF THE SSE LOW LEVEL JET DIRECTED INTO THE MCS AND SFC MOISTURE AXIS
NOSING NORTHWARD FROM CENT TX TO W CENT OK/S CENT KS ALONG WITH THE BEST
INSTABILITY RESIDING TO THE S AND SE OF THE ACTIVITY, BELIEVE COMPLEX
WILL SLOWLY CONTINUE TO PROGRESS TO THE S AND SE OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL
CONCERN EXISTS WITH BATCHES OF CONVECTION TO THE SW OF THE KS ACTIVITY
WHICH ARE CURRENTLY OVER E NM/NW TX THAT EVENTUALLY COULD MERGE INTO THE
SW FLANK OF THE MCS CREATING LOCALIZED AREAS OF VERY INTENSE RAINFALL WITH
RATES BRIEFLY WELL OVER 2"/HR WHERE THE MERGERS OCCUR. A SOMEWHAT SIMILAR
SITUATION TO THIS SCENARIO IS ACTUALLY NOW TAKING PLACE ON THE WESTERN
END OF THE COMPLEX WITH CELLS MOVING FROM EXTREME SE CO INTO W END OF MCS
AROUND MORTON/STEVENS/STANTON COUNTIES OF SW KS. ESTIMATED RATES THERE
FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY AS OF THE 0145Z IMAGE ARE APPROXIMATELY 1.5"/HR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3804 9971 3690 9791 3430 10186 3661 10268
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