ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/03/08 0420Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0402Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...INDIANA...ALABAMA...
LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...QUASI-STATIONARY/TRAINING CONVECTIVE MCS TO CONTINUE ON THE
SHORT TERM
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS VERY
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN OF MCS, AS SYSTEM REMAINS ANCHORED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI, TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS.
6HR SATELLITE ESTIMATES ENDING AT 0330Z GENERALLY RANGE FROM BETWEEN
2-4" FROM APPROXIMATELY SE AR THROUGH N CNTRL MS AND INTO W PORTIONS
OF TN AND KY.  MAXIMUM TOTALS IN THAT BROAD REGION WERE CENTERED FROM
ABOUT COAHOMA NE TO TATE AND MARSALL COUNTIES IN N CNTRL MS, WHERE 4-6"
IS SUGGESTED.
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0Z UA ANALYSIS ALL SUGGESTING THAT QUASI-STATIONARY CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
WITH TRAINING CORES SHOULD AT LEAST CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA ON THE SHORT TERM.  85H THETA-E RIDGE AXIS WAS
APPROXIMATELY COLLOCATED WITH A WELL DEFINED 1000-500MB THICKNESS
DIFFLUENT PATTERN OVER E TX/W LA.  THIS SHOULD FAVOR THE THREAT
FOR CONTINUED CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT IN THAT GENERAL REGION WHILE
INDIVIDUAL CONVECTIVE CELLS TRAIN NE PER NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL PROFILES
OVER DISCUSSION AREA.  LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 1.0"/HR
WILL BE QUITE POSSIBLE IN THE MORE INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORES.
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IT DOES APPEAR AS THOUGH HEIGHT FALLS NOW DROPPING THROUGH KS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY GIVE KICK TO CONVECTIVE SYSTEM BUT THAT SHOULD BE A RATHER
SLOW PROCESS AND WOULD THINK THAT CURRENT AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE
AFFECTED UNTIL THE 06-09Z TIME FRAME.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3784 8600 3734 8565 3625 8648 3411 8908 3319 9049 3236
9216 3279 9291 3364 9230 3432 9144 3641 8889 3779 8710
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