ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TNZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/03/08 0245Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0230Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W TENNESSEE...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING WEDGE CONTINUES EXT SE AR TO W TN AND
EXT E LA INTO S MS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SPLIT PW MOISTURE PLUME WITH HIGHEST
VALUES GOING INTO STORMS NOW SLOWLY MOVING OUT OF EXT E LA AND THRU
S MS.  PEARL RIVER COUNTY CONVECTIVE COLD TOP TO -71C AND THAT PROBABLY
GIVING CLOSE TO 2 INCHES PER HR AND WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST NEXT HR OR 2.
HANCOCK COUNTY MAY BE NEXT FOR HEIGHTEN FF POTENTIAL.  OVERLAYING 850MB
WINDS ON PW DATA SHOWED MODERATE BUT NOTICEABLE MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM
WESTERN CARIBBEAN TO LOUISIANA AND THIS HAD TO BE HELPING THAT ACTIVITY
NOW IN S MS.
TO THE NORTH MAIN MOISTURE PLUME STALLED AND CONVECTIVE CELLS REGENERATING
N LA THRU EXT SE AR...NW MS INTO INTERIOR W TN.   TRAINING HVY RAIBN
BURSTS TO BE A PROBLEM FIRST HALPF OF NIGHT AS CONVECTIVE FRONTAL BAND
STALLING AS MAIN UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH CONTINUES LIFTING NORTH AND NE,
THERE MAYBE A LITTLE MORE NUDGE/PUSH TO CONVECTIVE BAND THERE BY 06Z
AS TROUGH IN KANSAS SWINGS SE.  AND THEN AGAIN BOUNDARY COULD CONTINUE
STALLING WITH LITTLE MOVEMENT EAST IN RESPONSE TO DRY BRICK WALL OVER
THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE US (SEE RELATIVE MIN PF PW VALUES VA TO N FL).
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE 3HR AND 6HR SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM
NESDIS HYDROESTIMATOR ON WEB PAGE ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3627 8853 3065 8897 3025 9054 3275 9193 3518 8995
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